The Toronto-Dominion Bank · TD · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

TD Bank posts strong Q2 as AI gains and loan growth support returns

TD Bank’s Q2 supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient demand, broad-based growth, and measurable AI efficiency gains supported earnings and returns. The thesis remains conditional on sustaining U.S. growth, controlling expenses and AML costs, and preserving credit quality.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $201.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.74 Consensus $1.63
EPS surprise +6.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.80B Consensus $11.04B
Revenue surprise +6.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.5% Up to 20 sessions
TDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence that AI initiatives are producing measurable value, including a reported $145 million already realized, while mortgage pre-adjudication time fell from 15 hours to 3 minutes. Management also highlighted record results across segments, continued card and loan growth, and structural cost reductions ahead of the annual target.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance while reporting disciplined expense growth and structural cost reductions ahead of the $900 million annual target.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 EPS grew 21% year over year and ROE reached 14.4%, ahead of Investor Day targets.
  • Record results were broad-based, with credit-card acquisition and Canadian and U.S. loan growth highlighted.
  • AI initiatives had delivered $145 million of value, while credit quality remained solid and PCLs stayed within the guided range.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate AI deployment across credit, fraud, contact centers, and frontline productivity.
  • Complete the $7 billion share-buyback program and pursue additional strategic card partnerships.
  • Advance TD Easy Trade and direct-investing offerings while simplifying Canadian small-business banking.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $9B Q1 '24 actual $22B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $9B Q2 '24 actual $21B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $22B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $15B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $16B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '26 actual $11B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $12B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11B Q3 '26 actual $12B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $15B Q1 '27 estimate $15B Q2 '27 estimate $15B Q3 '27 estimate $16B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy17 ratings
Bullish952.9%
Neutral847.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$119.41Current
$87.53Low
$89.52Average
$91.51High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 1, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeMay 4, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 18, 2024
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2023
Show 12 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $119.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCPaul Holden$91.51$83.14 -23.4%Feb 17, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$87.53$71.92 -26.7%Nov 22, 2021

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Toronto-Dominion Bank, along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial solutions and services across Canada, the United States, and various international markets. Its operations are structured into three primary divisions: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking. For individual customers, the bank provides fundamental deposit products like checking, savings, and investment accounts. Businesses can access a suite of offerings including funding, investment management, cash flow solutions, international trade facilities, and everyday banking. Furthermore, TD offers point-of-sale financing options for major purchases such as automobiles and recreational vehicles. The institution also issues credit cards and facilitates payment processing. Its lending portfolio extends to real estate-backed loans, vehicle financing, and general consumer credit. Businesses, both large and small, benefit from its point-of-sale payment systems.…

Historical context

All TD earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-12T09:23:10.596395+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T05:21:04.242350+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T05:21:04.239419+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.