AT&T Inc. · T · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

AT&T Raises EPS Outlook as Fiber Growth Accelerates

AT&T's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: Advanced Connectivity growth, fiber expansion and converged offerings were paired with a higher full-year adjusted EPS outlook. The main tests are fiber ARPU durability, Q4 cost pressure, leverage and execution of the network transition.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $160.69B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $31.69B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.0% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. The current analysis adds a 60 million-plus fiber-location target, new infrastructure partnerships, continued copper retirement and a planned Mexico wireless-business sale, while highlighting higher Q4 costs and fiber-ARPU pressure.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $2.40; the prior-quarter analysis described guidance as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Advanced Connectivity net adds exceeded one million, the best quarter in four years.
  • Service revenue increased 3.8% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA margin reached 38.7%.
  • Management is targeting 60 million-plus fiber locations by 2030 and continuing copper retirement.
  • Q4 includes expected vendor-dispute settlements and higher marketing and device-acquisition costs.

Management priorities

  • Expand fiber toward 60 million-plus locations by 2030.
  • Continue copper-service retirement, targeting 50% of wire centers by 2027.
  • Complete the Mexico wireless-business sale and close the Gigapower fiber joint venture.
  • Develop converged customer offerings and AI-grade connectivity partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.55 Q4 '23 actual $0.54, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.54 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.57 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.57 Q3 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.54, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.54 Q3 '25 actual $0.54, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.55 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.59 Q2 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q4 '26 estimate $0.53 Q1 '27 estimate $0.61 Q2 '27 estimate $0.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$21.91Current
$18Low
$27.29Average
$44High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $21.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinLaurent Yoon$24$22.49 +9.5%Oct 13, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$26.5$24.88 +20.9%Oct 9, 2026
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$36$24.74 +64.3%Oct 7, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$27.5$24.34 +25.5%Oct 2, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$30$25.42 +36.9%Sep 21, 2026
See 83 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-21T17:05:58.242135+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-21T01:23:14.182042+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-21T18:50:45.201425+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-21T18:50:45.198749+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.