AT&T Inc. · T · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

AT&T Q2 2026: Record Fiber Net Adds, EPS Beat, $10B Buyback Target

AT&T's Q2 2026 results reinforced its connectivity-led transformation: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions exceeding 1 million advanced connectivity subscribers, the company's highest adjusted EBITDA margin, and a 10.2% EPS beat. Revenue narrowly missed consensus by 0.7%, but the market responded decisively -- shares rose 3.5% on the session versus a flat benchmark, then drifted 7.2% higher over subsequent days on 2.2x normal volume. Management maintained full-year guidance, raised the 2026 share-repurchase target to $10 billion, and introduced agentic AI traffic projections (9x enterprise, 7x consumer growth by 2035) as a long-term demand catalyst. Capex climbed to $6.1 billion from $5.1 billion in Q1, reflecting accelerated fiber deployment and EchoStar spectrum costs. Free cash flow of $4.7 billion topped guidance despite the heavier investment. The central question for…

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $167.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.65 Consensus $0.59
EPS surprise +10.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $31.56B Consensus $31.80B
Revenue surprise -0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.5% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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What changed

Several developments shifted versus the prior quarter. Fiber and fixed-wireless net additions set a new record, surpassing Q1's already strong pace of 584,000 net adds. Capital investment rose from $5.1B in Q1 to $6.1B, driven by accelerated fiber deployment and EchoStar spectrum acquisition costs. The share-repurchase target was raised to $10B for 2026, an increase from the prior multi-year $45B framework emphasis. Management introduced agentic AI traffic projections -- 9x enterprise and 7x consumer traffic growth by 2035 -- as a forward demand driver not discussed in Q1. A satellite partnership with AST SpaceMobile was announced to address coverage-gap resilience, a new network layer. Free cash flow of $4.7B topped guidance, extending Q1's pattern of hitting the high end of cash-flow targets despite rising capex.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment: maintained. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance for low-single-digit service-revenue growth and continued EBITDA growth. The capex outlook remains increasing, with investment rising from $5.1B in Q1 to $6.1B in Q2. No upward or downward revision to the core revenue or EBITDA framework was announced. The buyback target was raised to $10B for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Record quarter: Over 1 million advanced connectivity subscribers added with the highest adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • EPS of $0.65 beat estimates by 10.2%; revenue of $31.56B missed by 0.7%.
  • Free cash flow of $4.7B topped guidance despite higher capex of $6.1B, up from $5.1B in Q1.
  • Share-repurchase target raised to $10B for 2026.
  • Agentic AI traffic projections -- 9x enterprise, 7x consumer growth by 2035 -- introduced as a demand catalyst.
  • AST SpaceMobile satellite partnership announced for coverage-gap resilience.

Management priorities

  • Deploy fiber to 8 million new locations, including over 4 million acquired from Lumen.
  • Complete Lumen footprint integration and accelerate branded AT&T Fiber rollout.
  • Scale AST SpaceMobile satellite partnership for backup coverage.
  • Execute $10B share-repurchase program while maintaining dividend policy.
  • Acquire EchoStar spectrum to bolster 5G capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $31B Q4 '23 actual $32B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $31B Q1 '24 actual $30B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $30B Q2 '24 actual $30B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $30B Q3 '24 actual $30B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $30B Q2 '25 actual $31B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $31B Q3 '25 actual $31B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $33B Q4 '25 actual $33B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $31B Q1 '26 actual $32B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $32B Q2 '26 actual $32B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $32B Q3 '26 actual $32B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $35B Q1 '27 estimate $32B Q2 '27 estimate $32B Q3 '27 estimate $32B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.85Current
$18Low
$26.73Average
$36High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 22, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 22, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 22, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $20.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$33$22.45 +58.3%Oct 22, 2026
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$21$21.91 +0.7%Oct 22, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$27$21.91 +29.5%Oct 21, 2026
BernsteinLaurent Yoon$24$22.49 +15.1%Oct 13, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$26.5$24.88 +27.1%Oct 9, 2026
See 86 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-22T18:02:08.961868+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-28T01:23:15.070317+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T16:31:03.650741+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T16:31:03.648498+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.