AT&T Inc. · T · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

AT&T Q1: record fiber/fixed-wireless adds, ~12% EPS growth, Lumen closed early

AT&T's Q1 2026 results reinforce that its pivot to advanced connectivity is delivering: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions, first flat business service revenue, EPS up nearly 12%, and the Lumen fiber acquisition closed ahead of schedule. The forward case rests on disciplined capital deployment - roughly 8 million fiber locations added in 2026, closing the EchoStar spectrum deal, and returning $45 billion-plus to shareholders through 2028 - balanced against elevated capex and integration risk.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $174.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.57 Consensus $0.55
EPS surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $31.51B Consensus $31.25B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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What changed

After a strong Q4 2025 (1.5 million postpaid adds, 1 million fiber adds, $1 billion cost savings delivered in 2025), AT&T's first quarter of 2026 kept the momentum: record fiber and fixed-wireless net additions with 584,000 advanced Internet adds (best-ever first quarter), the Lumen transaction closed ahead of schedule adding 1.1 million fiber customers and 4 million-plus fiber locations, business service revenue flat year-over-year for the first time, and EPS up nearly 12%. The EchoStar spectrum acquisition was announced for closure ahead. Capex rose to $5.1 billion as fiber rollout accelerates, while free cash flow still hit the high end of guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained. AT&T reaffirmed its low single-digit service-revenue growth outlook and its 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth guidance, unchanged from prior guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Record fiber and fixed-wireless customer net adds drove higher convergence rates, led by 584,000 advanced Internet net adds in the quarter - the best-ever first quarter
  • Advanced Connectivity segment stabilized, with business service revenues flat year-over-year for the first time
  • Free cash flow hit the high end of guidance despite a roughly $600 million decline from higher capex
  • EPS rose nearly 12% year-over-year
  • Management reaffirmed low single-digit service-revenue growth and 3-4% full-year EBITDA growth

Management priorities

  • Add roughly 8 million fiber locations in 2026, expanding metro coverage
  • Iterate and expand OneConnect with new plan variants through the year
  • Close the EchoStar spectrum transaction and integrate the spectrum into the network
  • Complete the equity investment to acquire remaining Lumen fiber assets in H2 2026
  • Return $45 billion-plus to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases through 2028

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.54 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.57 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.57 Q3 '24 actual $0.60, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.53 Q2 '25 actual $0.54, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.54 Q3 '25 actual $0.54, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.55 Q1 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.59 Q2 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.60 Q4 '26 estimate $0.52 Q1 '27 estimate $0.60 Q2 '27 estimate $0.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$25.39Current
$18Low
$26.98Average
$36High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 15, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 8, 2026
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJun 3, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 25, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMar 23, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 16, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainSep 18, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2025
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 18, 2025
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2025
TD Securities Hold HoldMaintainApr 24, 2025
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainApr 24, 2025
MoffettNathanson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 15, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJun 28, 2024
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJun 5, 2023
LightShed Partners Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 8, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 26, 2023
Truist Securities Buy HoldUpgradeOct 21, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2022
Daiwa Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 23, 2021
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainSep 21, 2021
Redburn Partners Sell SellMaintainJun 25, 2021
New Street Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 21, 2021
DZ Bank Sell HoldDowngradeApr 24, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2020
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2020
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainApr 3, 2020
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeMar 23, 2020
Moffett Nathanson Sell NeutralDowngradeNov 19, 2019
Standpoint Research Hold BuyDowngradeNov 1, 2019
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 30, 2018
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJun 7, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
Hilliard Lyons Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 26, 2018
Independent Research Hold SellUpgradeOct 25, 2016
Drexel Hamilton Hold BuyDowngradeOct 24, 2016
Buckingham Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 24, 2016
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 5, 2016
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainMar 7, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainJul 27, 2015
BMO Capital Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 30, 2013
FBR Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 24, 2013
Evercore Partners Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainDec 3, 2012
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeSep 14, 2012
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeSep 14, 2012
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2012
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2012
Hudson Square Hold BuyDowngradeSep 13, 2012
Gabelli & Co. Hold BuyDowngradeJun 29, 2012
Bank oferica Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 25, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $25.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$30$25.42 +18.1%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$27$23.04 +6.3%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$23.04 -21.2%Jul 23, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$29$23.04 +14.2%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$30$23.04 +18.1%Jul 22, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$29.25$21.44 +15.2%Jul 15, 2026
BernsteinLaurent Yoon$25$21.44 -1.6%Jul 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$24$21.06 -5.5%Jul 8, 2026
Wells FargoSteven Cahall$18$21.06 -29.1%Jul 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$25$21.26 -1.6%Jul 7, 2026
BNP ParibasSam McHugh$28$28.03 +10.3%Apr 8, 2026
Arete ResearchAndrew Beale$28$27.71 +10.3%Mar 10, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$31$29.21 +22.1%Feb 12, 2026
Williams TradingGregory Williams$32$24.85 +26.0%Jan 29, 2026
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$33$24.98 +29.9%Jan 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$29$24.76 +14.2%Jan 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$27$23.59 +6.3%Jan 26, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$30$23.73 +18.1%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$26$23.74 +2.4%Jan 13, 2026
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$29.5$24.05 +16.2%Jan 7, 2026
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$20$24.72 -21.2%Jan 6, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$29$24.26 +14.2%Dec 19, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$30$24.5 +18.1%Dec 10, 2025
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$30$25.18 +18.1%Nov 11, 2025
UBSJohn Hodulik$31$24.68 +22.1%Oct 23, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$30$24.69 +18.1%Oct 23, 2025
Williams TradingGregory Williams$33$25.55 +29.9%Oct 23, 2025
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$28$25.55 +10.3%Oct 23, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$30.25$27.06 +19.1%Oct 6, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$30$28.24 +18.1%Oct 1, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$33$29.3 +29.9%Sep 18, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$32$29.58 +26.0%Sep 4, 2025
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$32$29.08 +26.0%Sep 2, 2025
Williams TradingGregory Williams$30$27.68 +18.1%Apr 24, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$28$26.84 +10.3%Mar 19, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$28.5$27.72 +12.2%Mar 3, 2025
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$32$24.25 +26.0%Feb 4, 2025
Deutsche BankNatthew Niknam$28$23.84 +10.3%Dec 5, 2024
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$19$22.08 -25.2%Oct 24, 2024
Williams TradingGregory Williams$26$22.22 +2.4%Oct 24, 2024
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$24$22.49 -5.5%Oct 24, 2024
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$24$22.49 -5.5%Oct 24, 2024
RBC CapitalJonathan Atkin$34.73$16.98 +36.8%Oct 23, 2024
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$25$22.49 -1.6%Oct 23, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesDavid Barden$24$21.86 -5.5%Sep 30, 2024
CitigroupMichael Rollins$24$21.71 -5.5%Sep 11, 2024
Raymond JamesJames Schneider$22$19.34 -13.4%Jul 25, 2024
CitigroupMichael Rollins$21$19.2 -17.3%Jul 25, 2024
OppenheimerTim Horan$23$19.2 -9.4%Jul 25, 2024
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$22$19.1 -13.4%Jul 24, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$23$18.5 -9.4%Jul 10, 2024
Deutsche BankNatthew Niknam$26$18.75 +2.4%Jun 28, 2024
UBSJohn Hodulik$24$18.02 -5.5%Jun 18, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$22.5$16.58 -11.4%Apr 25, 2024
RBC CapitalJon Atkin$18$16.81 -29.1%Apr 25, 2024
Wolfe ResearchJohn Janedis$21$17.17 -17.3%Mar 5, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$22$17.29 -13.4%Jan 26, 2024
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$44$16.68 +73.3%Jan 24, 2024
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$21$17.19 -17.3%Jan 24, 2024
ScotiabankJeff Fan$18.5$15.64 -27.2%Oct 20, 2023
CitigroupMichael Rollins$16$13.89 -37.0%Jul 18, 2023
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$25$18.22 -1.6%Apr 21, 2023
MoffettNathansonCraig Moffett$30.96$13.48 +21.9%Dec 19, 2022
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$20$18.49 -21.2%Dec 15, 2022
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$24$16.92 -5.5%Oct 21, 2022
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$20$18.92 -21.2%Jul 22, 2022
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$28$18.88 +10.3%Jun 16, 2022
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$22$19.3 -13.4%Apr 27, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$20$19.52 -21.2%Apr 25, 2022
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$26$19.54 +2.4%Apr 17, 2022
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$22$19.54 -13.4%Apr 15, 2022
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$32$19.56 +26.0%Apr 12, 2022
MoffettNathansonCraig Moffett$19$18.23 -25.2%Apr 10, 2022
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$28$18.06 +10.3%Mar 3, 2022
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$26$24.12 +2.4%Jan 27, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesDavid Barden$36$26.48 +41.8%Jan 25, 2022
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$41$27.02 +61.4%Jan 20, 2022
CitigroupMichael Rollins$29$26.34 +14.2%Jan 11, 2022
DaiwaJonathan Kees$26$24.37 +2.4%Dec 23, 2021
LightShed PartnersWalter Piecyk$36$26.54 +41.8%Sep 8, 2021
Redburn PartnersStephen Malcolm$23$27.28 -9.4%Jun 25, 2021
ScotiabankJeff Fan$31$27.44 +22.1%Jun 16, 2021
New StreetJonathan Chaplin$35$28.33 +37.8%May 21, 2021
BernsteinPeter Supino$33$29.65 +29.9%Apr 23, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.342398+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T18:11:19.339660+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.