AT&T Inc. · T · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

AT&T maintains guidance as fiber and broadband growth lead the strategy

The current analysis supports a measured version of the growth thesis: AT&T’s fiber, Internet Air, and convergence initiatives are producing strong broadband momentum, but maintained guidance and competitive and execution risks limit the strength of the near-term case.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $166.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.54 Consensus $0.54
EPS surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $30.71B Consensus $30.87B
Revenue surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.1% Up to 20 sessions
TSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior analysis, the emphasis shifted from raised guidance and accelerating investment to maintained guidance, record broadband additions, and execution around EchoStar spectrum, Lumen fiber assets, and the fiber rollout. Mobility remains a constraint because of modest growth and ARPU pressure.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $1.97-$2.07 and capital-spending guidance of $22-$22.5 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record broadband growth, led by fiber and Internet Air, while mobility growth remained modest amid ARPU pressure.
  • The strategy centers on convergence, fiber expansion toward more than 60 million locations by 2030, and broader fixed-wireless coverage.
  • The current analysis is constructive but less bullish than the prior quarter, with guidance maintained and execution risks more prominent.

Management priorities

  • Expand fiber toward more than 60 million locations by 2030 and broaden Internet Air across 47 states.
  • Close the planned EchoStar spectrum and Lumen fiber asset transactions and deploy mid-band spectrum.
  • Continue network modernization, convergence initiatives, and capital-return programs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
T REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $31B Q4 '23 actual $32B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $31B Q1 '24 actual $30B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $30B Q2 '24 actual $30B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $30B Q3 '24 actual $30B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $30B Q2 '25 actual $31B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $31B Q3 '25 actual $31B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $33B Q4 '25 actual $33B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $31B Q1 '26 actual $32B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $32B Q2 '26 actual $32B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $32B Q4 '26 estimate $35B Q1 '27 estimate $32B Q2 '27 estimate $32B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2745.0%
Neutral2948.3%
Bearish46.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$24.3Current
$18Low
$27.2Average
$44High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 55 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $24.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$27.5$24.34 +13.2%Oct 2, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$30$25.42 +23.5%Sep 21, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$27$23.04 +11.1%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$23.04 -17.7%Jul 23, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$29$23.04 +19.3%Jul 23, 2026
See 80 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Globally, AT&T Inc. delivers an array of telecommunication, media, and technology offerings. Within its Communications division, the company supplies wireless voice and data communication services. It also markets mobile devices, such as smartphones, wireless data access cards, and portable computing gadgets, alongside accessories like protective cases and hands-free equipment. These products are distributed through AT&T's proprietary outlets, authorized agents, and external retail partners. Furthermore, this segment caters to a broad clientele including multinational corporations, small-to-medium-sized enterprises, government entities, and wholesale clients.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T11:26:06.535325+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T11:26:06.532407+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.