Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Synchrony maintains outlook as credit trends improve

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: improved credit trends, new products, partner expansion, and capital strength underpin growth, but regulatory, funding, macroeconomic, and credit risks temper confidence.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.96B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.89
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.84B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.6% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -5.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.4% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the focus shifted from raised full-year EPS guidance and new partnerships toward a maintained 2025 outlook, broader Pay Later and CareCredit expansion, digital-wallet growth, and continued credit normalization.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, including low-single-digit loan growth, 2025 net revenue of $15.2-$15.7 billion, and an efficiency ratio of 31.5%-32.5%.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 2024 as a strong year and pointed to improved delinquency trends from credit actions.
  • Pay Later, expanded CareCredit offerings, digital-wallet initiatives, and partner activity are the main stated growth avenues.
  • Capital and liquidity provide flexibility, but regulatory, funding-cost, macroeconomic, and credit risks remain.
  • The supplied scorecard does not include reported EPS or revenue actuals, so a beat-or-miss conclusion is unavailable.

Management priorities

  • Scale Synchrony Pay Later across additional partners.
  • Expand CareCredit into wellness and fertility categories.
  • Increase dual-card offerings, marketplace referrals, and digital-wallet functionality.
  • Maintain liquidity while pursuing incremental loan growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.93 Q4 '23 actual $1.03, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.34 Q1 '24 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.35 Q2 '24 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.82 Q2 '25 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $2.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.42 Q3 '26 actual $2.68, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.00 Q1 '27 estimate $2.57 Q2 '27 estimate $2.57 Q3 '27 estimate $2.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2458.5%
Neutral1639.0%
Bearish12.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.64Current
$40Low
$74.12Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeOct 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysTerry Ma$94$73.36 +27.6%Oct 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$78$73.36 +5.9%Oct 21, 2026
JefferiesJohn Hecht$103$74.24 +39.9%Oct 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$83$72.8 +12.7%Oct 12, 2026
BMO CapitalAndrew Bauch$81$73.72 +10.0%Oct 8, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-14T00:00:50.895859+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T03:40:43.414665+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T03:40:43.411734+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.