Synchrony Financial · SYF-PA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Synchrony sees partner-led growth while monitoring credit and regulation

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional outlook: resilient purchase volume, improving credit metrics, and partner-led initiatives support growth, while regulation and consumer-credit sensitivity remain material constraints.

Reported Session unavailableNYSEFinancial Services $25.10B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.04 Consensus $2.05
EPS surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.79B Consensus $3.84B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The company highlighted an exclusive Bob's Discount Furniture agreement, planned Walmart One Pay and Lowe's commercial expansion, broader Pay Later adoption, and increased AI and cloud investment.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained: 2026 targets mid-single-digit receivables growth and EPS of $9.10-$9.50.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 purchase volume reached a record $49 billion, up 3% year over year.
  • The 5.37% net charge-off rate returned to the 5.5%-6% target range.
  • New partnerships and Pay Later expansion are central to the growth plan.
  • Management expects 2026 receivables growth in the mid-single digits and EPS of $9.10-$9.50.

Management priorities

  • Launch Bob's Discount Furniture financing mid-year.
  • Scale Walmart One Pay and transition Lowe's commercial co-brand into the portfolio.
  • Expand Pay Later across additional merchants and deepen co-brand integration.
  • Invest in AI, cloud, and health-and-wellness technology while maintaining capital returns and liquidity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF-PA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $3.17, None Q2 '24 actual $1.60, None Q2 '25 estimate $1.82 Q2 '25 actual $2.55, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.84, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $2.04, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.42 Q3 '26 actual $2.68, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.15 Q1 '27 estimate $2.54 Q2 '27 estimate $2.46 Q3 '27 estimate $2.86
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish1142.3%
Neutral1246.2%
Bearish311.5%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 16, 2023
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2023
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2023
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 2, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 4, 2023
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 18, 2023
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 13, 2023
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 12, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 17, 2023
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 19, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 4, 2023
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMar 30, 2023
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market OutperformDowngradeMar 16, 2023
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 5, 2023
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 25, 2022
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 18, 2022
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeMay 11, 2022
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJan 31, 2021
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 13, 2020
CFRA Strong Sell SellMaintainApr 2, 2020
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 2, 2017
Wedbush Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 6, 2016
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJun 14, 2016
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 22, 2015
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 5, 2015
BTIG Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 19, 2015
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, an established consumer financial services firm operating across the United States through its subsidiaries, delivers a comprehensive suite of credit and banking products. Its offerings include a variety of credit cards, such as private label, dual-branded, co-branded, and general-purpose options, alongside commercial credit solutions and both short- and long-term consumer installment loans. Beyond traditional lending, Synchrony provides a range of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts, accessible directly or via third-party brokerage firms.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-21. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.