Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. · SWK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

SWK Q2: EPS beat and guidance raised as margins benefited

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: organic growth, power-tool momentum, margin expansion, and raised EPS guidance strengthen the operating case, while tariff dependence, input inflation, and investment execution remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $13.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.57 Consensus $1.21
EPS surprise +29.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.96B Consensus $3.97B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
SWKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance, reported 3% organic Q2 growth, highlighted 8% power-tool growth, and described tariff refunds as a source of margin expansion and reinvestment. The company also reduced debt by $1.7 billion and repurchased $250 million of shares.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.20-$5.80 from the prior quarter's $4.90-$5.70 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 organic revenue grew 3%, led by DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.57, above the $1.21 consensus estimate; revenue was $3.96 billion, slightly below the $3.97 billion estimate.
  • Management cited productivity, product mix, and tariff refunds as drivers of margin expansion.
  • The company reduced debt by $1.7 billion and repurchased $250 million of shares after the aerospace fasteners divestiture.
  • Growth investment is focused on brands, new products, DEWALT trade-specialist programs, and North American production.

Management priorities

  • Expand DEWALT project solution managers in large construction sites.
  • Invest in DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN product launches and trade-specialist programs.
  • Shift more U.S. tool production from China to North America for USMCA compliance.
  • Reinvest tariff refunds in growth and productivity initiatives.
  • Continue debt reduction, opportunistic repurchases, and consideration of bolt-on M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SWK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.55 Q1 '24 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.84 Q2 '24 actual $1.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.03 Q3 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.46 Q2 '26 actual $1.08, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.25 Q3 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.27 Q4 '26 actual $1.41, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.59 Q1 '27 actual $0.80, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.21 Q2 '27 actual $1.57, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.56 Q4 '27 estimate $1.71 Q1 '28 estimate $1.03 Q2 '28 estimate $1.53
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1645.7%
Neutral1748.6%
Bearish25.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$91.53Current
$80Low
$121.26Average
$248High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 29, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 1, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 1, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJan 5, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeJul 8, 2025
Mizuho Outperform NeutralUpgradeDec 19, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 10, 2024
Zelman & Assoc Buy HoldUpgradeAug 18, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 12, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 6, 2023
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 3, 2023
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 29, 2022
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainMar 9, 2022
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeJun 17, 2021
Nomura Instinet Buy BuyMaintainMay 4, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainMay 4, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 31, 2020
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 31, 2020
Bank of America Buy UnderperformUpgradeNov 14, 2019
Zelman Hold BuyDowngradeOct 25, 2019
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeSep 18, 2019
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 6, 2018
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainJan 25, 2018
FBR Capital Buy BuyMaintainOct 25, 2017
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2016
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2016
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainApr 14, 2016
Imperial Capital In Line In LineMaintainJan 29, 2016
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeMay 30, 2013
CLSA Buy BuyMaintainFeb 26, 2013
Janney Capital Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 20, 2012
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 18, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $91.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$89.23 +3.8%Sep 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$96$101.44 +4.9%Aug 10, 2026
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$93$93.05 +1.6%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$84$79.76 -8.2%May 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$84$75.89 -8.2%Apr 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$82$75.12 -10.4%Apr 21, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$87$87.29 -4.9%Feb 23, 2026
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$84$85.57 -8.2%Feb 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$100$84.63 +9.3%Feb 5, 2026
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$82$82.9 -10.4%Jan 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$98$77.34 +7.1%Jan 5, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$85$75.24 -7.1%Dec 23, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$76.02 -3.9%Dec 22, 2025
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$80$65.38 -12.6%Oct 14, 2025
JefferiesJonathan Matuszewski$86$74.54 -6.0%Aug 18, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$80$67.77 -12.6%Jul 30, 2025
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$65$58.94 -29.0%May 1, 2025
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$60$58.94 -34.4%May 1, 2025
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$90$81.65 -1.7%Jan 7, 2025
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$94$93.87 +2.7%Oct 30, 2024
Morgan StanleyJonathan Sakraida$115$96.64 +25.6%Sep 10, 2024
Morgan StanleyChris Snyder$107$98.36 +16.9%Sep 6, 2024
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$94$106.05 +2.7%Jul 31, 2024
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$110$106.05 +20.2%Jul 31, 2024
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$80$86.95 -12.6%Jul 22, 2024
Morgan StanleyJulian Mitchell$86$86.99 -6.0%Jun 4, 2024
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$107$95.46 +16.9%Apr 2, 2024
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$105$95.32 +14.7%Jan 31, 2024
Morgan StanleyDan Oppenheim$125$101.64 +36.6%Aug 15, 2022
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$105$97.33 +14.7%Aug 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyJoshua Pokrzywinski$137$114.53 +49.7%Jun 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$150$126.44 +63.9%Apr 29, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$110$125.83 +20.2%Apr 29, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$158$127.78 +72.6%Apr 29, 2022
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$188$126.9 +105.4%Apr 29, 2022
Credit SuisseDaniel Oppenheim$165$140.92 +80.3%Apr 10, 2022
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$180$141.6 +96.7%Apr 5, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesRoss Gilardi$140$148.4 +53.0%Mar 16, 2022
UBSMarkus Mittermaier$248$173.47 +170.9%Feb 2, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$223$187.17 +143.6%Jan 10, 2022
Wolfe ResearchNigel Coe$246$192.86 +168.8%Jul 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global enterprise primarily engaged in two core business segments: Tools & Storage and Industrial operations. Its geographical footprint extends across the United States, Canada, the wider Americas region, France, the rest of Europe, and Asia. The Tools & Storage segment provides a comprehensive array of products catering to both professional and consumer markets. For professionals, offerings include high-grade corded and cordless electric power tools, essential equipment, pneumatic tools, and fastening solutions. Consumers can access corded and cordless electric power tools, notably under the BLACK+DECKER brand, alongside lawn and garden equipment, related accessories, various home products, hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage units. This division distributes its merchandise through a diverse network comprising retailers, distributors, and dealers, supplemented by a direct sales force.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T20:09:22.046286+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T18:20:56.082435+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T18:20:56.079471+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.