Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. · SWK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

SWK Q2: EPS beat and guidance raised as margins benefited

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: organic growth, power-tool momentum, margin expansion, and raised EPS guidance strengthen the operating case, while tariff dependence, input inflation, and investment execution remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $13.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.57 Consensus $1.21
EPS surprise +29.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.96B Consensus $3.97B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
SWKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance, reported 3% organic Q2 growth, highlighted 8% power-tool growth, and described tariff refunds as a source of margin expansion and reinvestment. The company also reduced debt by $1.7 billion and repurchased $250 million of shares.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.20-$5.80 from the prior quarter's $4.90-$5.70 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 organic revenue grew 3%, led by DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.57, above the $1.21 consensus estimate; revenue was $3.96 billion, slightly below the $3.97 billion estimate.
  • Management cited productivity, product mix, and tariff refunds as drivers of margin expansion.
  • The company reduced debt by $1.7 billion and repurchased $250 million of shares after the aerospace fasteners divestiture.
  • Growth investment is focused on brands, new products, DEWALT trade-specialist programs, and North American production.

Management priorities

  • Expand DEWALT project solution managers in large construction sites.
  • Invest in DEWALT, STANLEY, and CRAFTSMAN product launches and trade-specialist programs.
  • Shift more U.S. tool production from China to North America for USMCA compliance.
  • Reinvest tariff refunds in growth and productivity initiatives.
  • Continue debt reduction, opportunistic repurchases, and consideration of bolt-on M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SWK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.73 Q4 '23 actual $0.92, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.55 Q1 '24 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.84 Q2 '24 actual $1.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.03 Q3 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.46 Q2 '26 actual $1.08, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.25 Q3 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.27 Q4 '26 actual $1.41, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.59 Q1 '27 actual $0.80, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.21 Q2 '27 actual $1.57, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.56 Q4 '27 estimate $1.71 Q1 '28 estimate $1.03 Q2 '28 estimate $1.53
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1645.7%
Neutral1748.6%
Bearish25.7%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$91.53Current
$80Low
$121.26Average
$248High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 29, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 1, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $91.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$89.23 +3.8%Sep 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$96$101.44 +4.9%Aug 10, 2026
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$93$93.05 +1.6%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$84$79.76 -8.2%May 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$84$75.89 -8.2%Apr 30, 2026
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global enterprise primarily engaged in two core business segments: Tools & Storage and Industrial operations. Its geographical footprint extends across the United States, Canada, the wider Americas region, France, the rest of Europe, and Asia. The Tools & Storage segment provides a comprehensive array of products catering to both professional and consumer markets. For professionals, offerings include high-grade corded and cordless electric power tools, essential equipment, pneumatic tools, and fastening solutions. Consumers can access corded and cordless electric power tools, notably under the BLACK+DECKER brand, alongside lawn and garden equipment, related accessories, various home products, hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage units. This division distributes its merchandise through a diverse network comprising retailers, distributors, and dealers, supplemented by a direct sales force.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T20:09:22.046286+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T18:20:56.082435+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T18:20:56.079471+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.