Suzano S.A. · SUZ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Suzano maintains cost guidance as Arbex integration and deleveraging advance

Suzano’s Q2 2026 analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: demand and pricing improved in key pulp and paper markets, while Arbex integration may add efficiency gains. The main counterweights are elevated leverage, execution of the cash-cost target and exposure to input costs, weather, foreign exchange and Chinese market conditions.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $11.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.28 Consensus $0.26
EPS surprise +6.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.23B Consensus $2.26B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.1% Up to 20 sessions
SUZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The Arbex acquisition was fully closed on July 1, with governance and management in place. Management maintained BRL 800-per-ton cash-cost guidance, highlighted expected second-half reductions, and kept deleveraging central as leverage stood at 3.4x. Compared with the prior analysis, the K-C joint venture and Rio Verde closure were no longer the primary current-quarter focus; Arbex integration and asset sales became more prominent.

Guidance delta

Cash-cost guidance was maintained at BRL 800 per ton, with expected reductions in the second half; management’s leverage goal remains below 2.5x from 3.4x.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong free cash flow and operational resilience despite higher input costs.
  • The Arbex acquisition closed on July 1, with efficiency gains expected from integration.
  • Pulp prices and demand were described as strong in Europe and North America, while paper and coated-paper volumes and prices improved.
  • Deleveraging remains a priority through free cash flow, efficiency gains and asset sales.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Arbex and realize efficiency gains
  • Reduce leverage through free cash flow, efficiency measures and land-plot sales
  • Maintain hedging coverage and invest in logistics and forestry assets
  • Focus on organic growth and operational execution rather than new M&A

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SUZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $2B, None Q1 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '24 actual $2B, None Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $15B Q4 '26 estimate $16B Q1 '27 estimate $16B Q2 '27 estimate $16B
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Analyst 52W Price Targets

$9.3Current
$11Low
$12.2Average
$13.4High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $9.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFrancisco Barbosa$13.4$9.45 +44.1%Feb 5, 2026
BradescoThiago Lofiego$11$9.71 +18.3%Aug 24, 2022

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Suzano S.A. is a prominent global producer and seller of eucalyptus pulp and paper products, with operations extending internationally from its base in Brazil. Its core business is structured around distinct Pulp and Paper segments. The company's extensive product portfolio includes various types of paper, such as coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, and tissue products. Additionally, Suzano supplies market and fluff pulps, along with lignin and its byproducts. Beyond these traditional offerings, Suzano maintains a diverse range of other ventures. These encompass the research, development, and production of biofuel, the operation of port terminals, and involvement in power generation and distribution.…

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T21:21:41.649085+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-17T01:23:13.296768+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T15:00:53.494070+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T15:00:53.491783+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.