Suzano S.A. · SUZ · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Suzano: Strong EBITDA, lower capex plans, and logistics risks

Suzano's Q3 2024 analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: operational improvements, Ribas ramp-up, acquisitions, and deleveraging provide support, while logistics, pricing, FX, and leverage remain material checks.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $10.59B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.46 Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.25B Consensus $2.16B
Revenue surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
SUZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the company had closed the Lenzing and forestry transactions, Ribas delivered an 8% learning-curve improvement above forecast, and capex expectations shifted lower for 2025. The analysis also emphasizes record EBITDA, 3.1x leverage, and ongoing export-logistics constraints.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; the analysis points to lower 2025 capex and continued deleveraging.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes record Q3 2024 EBITDA, supported by higher sales volumes and favorable FX.
  • Net debt leverage fell to 3.1x, with continued deleveraging a stated priority.
  • Ribas mill ramp-up and recent acquisitions are central to the value-creation case.
  • Export logistics bottlenecks, lower paper prices, and FX remain key constraints.

Management priorities

  • Complete the Ribas mill ramp-up and improve cash costs.
  • Extract value from Lenzing and U.S. packaging assets.
  • Continue deleveraging and selective share buybacks.
  • Reduce capex in 2025 while focusing on seasonal demand and operating efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SUZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '24 actual $2B, None Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $16B Q1 '27 estimate $16B Q2 '27 estimate $16B
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Analyst 52W Price Targets

$8.57Current
$11Low
$12.2Average
$13.4High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFrancisco Barbosa$13.4$9.45 +56.4%Feb 5, 2026
BradescoThiago Lofiego$11$9.71 +28.4%Aug 24, 2022

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Suzano S.A. is a prominent global producer and seller of eucalyptus pulp and paper products, with operations extending internationally from its base in Brazil. Its core business is structured around distinct Pulp and Paper segments. The company's extensive product portfolio includes various types of paper, such as coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, and tissue products. Additionally, Suzano supplies market and fluff pulps, along with lignin and its byproducts. Beyond these traditional offerings, Suzano maintains a diverse range of other ventures. These encompass the research, development, and production of biofuel, the operation of port terminals, and involvement in power generation and distribution.…

Historical context

All SUZ earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T11:40:44.861890+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T11:40:44.859028+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.