Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc · SUNB · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Sunbelt Rentals Posts Record FY2026 Revenue as Margin Mix Pressures Persist

The current analysis supports a constructive demand and growth case through FY2027, led by specialty rentals, mega-project activity, pricing initiatives, and network expansion. The main counterweight is that margin compression, higher capital spending, and Aries integration could limit how much of that growth reaches earnings and cash flow.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $30.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.74 Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise -0.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.75B Consensus $2.64B
Revenue surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -9.4% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -8.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.9% Up to 20 sessions
SUNBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management introduced Modular Solutions through the Aries acquisition, reported a $25B mega-project pipeline, and outlined FY2027 growth guidance. Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shifts from reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and a new buyback to a focus on FY2027 expansion, while margin pressure remains a central issue.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY2027 guidance of 4.5%-7.5% total revenue growth, 5%-8% rental growth, and EBITDA of $4.85B-$5.05B; the analysis also says margins are expected to remain near current levels.

Key takeaways

  • FY2026 revenue reached $11.2B and free cash flow reached $2.1B.
  • Specialty rentals grew 15% in Q4 and were the strongest growth driver.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed 200 basis points as specialty mix and ancillary revenue increased, alongside a reversal of a prior receivables provision.
  • The Aries acquisition adds Modular Solutions, while the company plans further greenfield and bolt-on expansion.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Reliant Asset Management (Aries) into the product portfolio.
  • Open 55 new greenfield locations in FY2027.
  • Expand dynamic pricing beyond the current 15 markets.
  • Pursue disciplined bolt-on acquisitions while maintaining leverage within 1-2x EBITDA.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SUNB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 3 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 actual $3B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q1 '27 actual $3B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $3B Q1 '28 estimate $3B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold7 ratings
Bullish457.1%
Neutral114.3%
Bearish228.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.78Current
$71Low
$86.5Average
$97High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 17, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 10, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 10, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 2 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $73.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$93$72.35 +26.1%Sep 16, 2026
BernsteinWill Kirkness$97$71.89 +31.5%Sep 16, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$90$73.42 +22.0%Sep 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$71$73.42 -3.8%Sep 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$96$84.8 +30.1%Aug 17, 2026
See 6 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. operates as a prominent equipment leasing firm, furnishing an extensive array of tools, various machinery, and customized engineering solutions. Its clientele spans diverse sectors including construction, industrial applications, and other specialized industries. The company's operations are divided into three core business units: its general tool services across North America, its specialty services also within North America, and its division in the United Kingdom. Established on February 12, 2025, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. has its corporate base located in Fort Mill, South Carolina.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-23T17:16:19.387753+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-29T01:23:15.868211+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T04:10:56.310698+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T04:10:56.307808+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.