State Street Corporation · STT · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

State Street raises outlook as AI and tokenization expand growth levers

The latest analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: State Street is combining stronger fee and net-interest-income growth with operating leverage, while AI, tokenization and software services provide longer-term growth avenues.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $49.80B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.84 Consensus $2.64
EPS surprise +7.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.80B Consensus $3.67B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.1% Up to 20 sessions
STTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter showed stronger reported growth, a raised full-year outlook for fee revenue and net interest income, continued deposit expansion, and more detail on AI-agent delivery and tokenized liquidity products.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year fee-revenue growth guidance to 7–9% and net-interest-income growth guidance to 8–10%.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record quarterly revenue and fee revenue, with strong GAAP and non-GAAP EPS growth.
  • Fee revenue growth was supported by ETF inflows, investment-management growth and digital-asset services.
  • The quarter marked a ninth consecutive period of positive operating leverage, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Deposit growth and a favorable funding mix supported net-interest-income growth.
  • AI, tokenization and software-services recurring revenue remain central to the growth narrative.

Management priorities

  • Scale the AI hub and launch AI-agent service delivery.
  • Expand tokenized asset products and on-chain liquidity funds.
  • Continue ETF, index-strategy and deposit growth.
  • Grow software-services recurring revenue and backlog.
  • Advance partnerships supporting digital assets and financial-services capabilities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.81 Q4 '23 actual $2.04, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.50 Q1 '24 actual $1.69, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.12 Q3 '24 actual $2.26, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.64 Q3 '25 actual $2.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.84 Q4 '25 actual $2.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.64 Q1 '26 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.34 Q2 '26 actual $3.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.62 Q4 '26 estimate $3.57 Q1 '27 estimate $3.32 Q2 '27 estimate $3.91
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish1848.7%
Neutral1540.5%
Bearish410.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$181.09Current
$70Low
$137.23Average
$200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 17, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $181.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$183.98 +10.4%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$191$183.22 +5.5%Jul 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$195$185.66 +7.7%Jul 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$185.66 +10.4%Jul 17, 2026
Evercore ISIGlenn Schorr$186$174.42 +2.7%Jul 6, 2026
See 65 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

State Street Corporation (STT) is a well-established global financial services firm that delivers a wide array of financial products and specialized services to institutional investors worldwide. The company's extensive offerings include core investment servicing functionalities such as secure asset custody, detailed product accounting, daily valuation, comprehensive administration, master trust and master custody arrangements, and specific depotbank services. It also manages record-keeping, cash, foreign exchange, brokerage, and various trading activities. Further services in this area encompass securities finance, advanced custody solutions, deposit and short-term investment facilities, as well as loan and lease financing. State Street additionally provides operational outsourcing for both traditional and alternative investment managers, complemented by sophisticated analytics for performance, risk, and compliance, along with financial data management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T23:50:53.124423+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T23:50:53.121487+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.