State Street Corporation · STT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

State Street: Broad Fee Growth Supports a More Constructive Outlook

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: broad fee-revenue growth, product innovation and a raised outlook strengthen the operating case, while modest net interest income expectations, expense growth and execution risks limit confidence in a straightforward earnings-growth trajectory.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $48.81B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.78 Consensus $2.64
EPS surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.75B Consensus $3.46B
Revenue surprise +66.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.9% Up to 20 sessions
STTSPY benchmark

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What changed

The main positive change was a higher fee-revenue outlook, alongside continued product expansion in digital assets, ETFs and wealth services. The risk profile remains centered on net interest income, deposit mix, expenses and execution.

Guidance delta

Management raised its 2025 fee-revenue growth outlook to 8.5%-9% from 5%-7%, while indicating expense growth of about 4.5%.

Key takeaways

  • Management described broad fee-revenue expansion across servicing, management fees, foreign exchange and securities finance.
  • Product activity accelerated, including new ETFs and planned digital-asset and wealth-service offerings.
  • Management highlighted record scale in assets under custody and administration and assets under management.
  • The outlook improved, but net interest income, expenses and execution remain important offsets.

Management priorities

  • Launch the digital-asset tokenization platform.
  • Scale the Apex digital wealth custody solution globally.
  • Continue ETF and private-market product development.
  • Invest in AI, platform modernization and productivity while pursuing expense savings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.81 Q4 '23 actual $2.04, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.50 Q1 '24 actual $1.69, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.12 Q3 '24 actual $2.26, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.35 Q2 '25 actual $2.53, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.64 Q3 '25 actual $2.78, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.84 Q4 '25 actual $2.97, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.64 Q1 '26 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.34 Q2 '26 actual $3.65, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.65 Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q1 '27 estimate $3.39 Q2 '27 estimate $3.94
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold37 ratings
Bullish1848.7%
Neutral1540.5%
Bearish410.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$176.37Current
$70Low
$137.23Average
$200High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 17, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 17, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $176.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$183.98 +13.4%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$191$183.22 +8.3%Jul 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyManan Gosalia$195$185.66 +10.6%Jul 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$185.66 +13.4%Jul 17, 2026
Evercore ISIGlenn Schorr$186$174.42 +5.5%Jul 6, 2026
See 65 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

State Street Corporation (STT) is a well-established global financial services firm that delivers a wide array of financial products and specialized services to institutional investors worldwide. The company's extensive offerings include core investment servicing functionalities such as secure asset custody, detailed product accounting, daily valuation, comprehensive administration, master trust and master custody arrangements, and specific depotbank services. It also manages record-keeping, cash, foreign exchange, brokerage, and various trading activities. Further services in this area encompass securities finance, advanced custody solutions, deposit and short-term investment facilities, as well as loan and lease financing. State Street additionally provides operational outsourcing for both traditional and alternative investment managers, complemented by sophisticated analytics for performance, risk, and compliance, along with financial data management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T02:00:44.653600+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T02:00:44.650499+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.