Steel Dynamics, Inc. · STLD · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Steel Dynamics leans on value-added steel and aluminum growth

The call supports a constructive growth case for Steel Dynamics if value-added coating lines, aluminum capacity and recycling integration convert into stronger earnings. The main counterweights are steel-price pressure, trade uncertainty and execution risk.

Reported After market closeNASDAQBasic Materials $35.14B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.98
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.18B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.0% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
STLDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management emphasized that value-added coating lines were operational at 65%–75% and that the Columbus aluminum project, Mexico slab casting and biocarbon facility were advancing toward 2025 milestones. The outlook remained maintained, while steel-price pressure and trade-case uncertainty persisted.

Guidance delta

Maintained

Key takeaways

  • Management described robust cash generation supporting dividend stability and share repurchases.
  • The four value-added coating lines were operating at 65%–75%, with further earnings contribution expected in 2025.
  • Flat-rolled pricing pressure was partly offset by higher-margin value-added products and recycling integration.
  • The Columbus aluminum mill and biocarbon facility remained important 2025 execution priorities.

Management priorities

  • Ramp the four value-added coating lines.
  • Commission the Columbus aluminum mill and Mexico slab-casting operations.
  • Start the biocarbon facility and advance lower-carbon steelmaking goals.
  • Maintain shareholder returns while funding strategic investments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STLD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $5B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $7B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q3 '27 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1453.9%
Neutral1142.3%
Bearish13.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$245.17Previous close
$112Low
$207.05Average
$300High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $245.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysRichard Garchitorena$285$240.54 +16.2%Oct 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$257$245.35 +4.8%Sep 18, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$276$263.72 +12.6%Aug 10, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$300$259.74 +22.4%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyCarlos De Alba$260$239.1 +6.0%Jul 22, 2026
See 33 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Steel Dynamics, Inc. is a prominent American steel manufacturer and metal recycling enterprise, conducting its operations through three distinct business divisions. The Steel Operations segment is responsible for producing a broad range of steel products, including hot, cold, and coated rolled steel, various structural shapes like beams, channels, and angles, flat and reinforcing bars, and a diverse selection of rail and engineered steel bar products. This segment also provides specialized processing services for both bar products (such as turning, polishing, and heat treating) and specialty items (including cutting, welding, and galvanizing).…

Historical context

All STLD earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
AA Alcoa Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +20.5% +7.2% Alcoa: Strong Q3 execution, with safety and transaction risks ahead

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T08:30:44.026363+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T08:30:44.023310+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.