SouthState Bank Corp. · SSB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

SouthState posts strong Q3 growth while credit and margin risks remain

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture: earnings and loan production grew, capital remained strong, and management maintained margin guidance. The counterweight is that rate sensitivity, deposit costs and a significant loan charge-off leave the durability of that trajectory dependent on execution and credit performance.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $10.20B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.58 Consensus $2.11
EPS surprise +22.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $698.8M Consensus $663.8M
Revenue surprise +5.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.2% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
SSBSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the supplied analysis shows stronger reported momentum: EPS increased 30% year over year, loan production rose to $3.4 billion, and Texas pipeline activity expanded. The current quarter also introduced a $21 million one-time loan charge-off and a revised deposit-beta expectation of 27%-30%, while 2026 margin guidance remained 3.80%-3.90%.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 net interest margin guidance of 3.80%-3.90%, while noting rate-cut and funding-cost risks.

Key takeaways

  • EPS rose 30% year over year to $2.58, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Loan production reached $3.4 billion, with the Texas pipeline expanding to $1.2 billion.
  • CET1 capital was 11.5% and tangible book value per share increased to $54.48.
  • A $21 million one-time loan charge-off linked to First Brands supply-chain finance was a notable offset.
  • Management plans to use excess capital for buybacks and accelerated hiring, subject to capital conditions.

Management priorities

  • Target average earning assets of $61-$62 billion in 2026
  • Continue organic expansion through hiring and pipeline development
  • Implement a new incentive structure for IBTX bankers in 2026
  • Deploy share buybacks as capital permits

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SSB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.54 Q4 '23 actual $1.67, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.55 Q1 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.54 Q2 '24 actual $1.79, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.64 Q3 '24 actual $1.90, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.00 Q2 '25 actual $2.30, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.11 Q3 '25 actual $2.58, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.30 Q4 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.28, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.31 Q2 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.40 Q3 '26 actual $2.30, miss Q4 '26 estimate $2.42 Q1 '27 estimate $2.40 Q2 '27 estimate $2.52 Q3 '27 estimate $2.62
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1470.0%
Neutral630.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$105.51Current
$90Low
$113.83Average
$127High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 1, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 15 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $105.51. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$113$100.57 +7.1%Oct 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$120$101.91 +13.7%Oct 5, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$118$105.68 +11.8%Jul 28, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$116$105.9 +9.9%Jul 27, 2026
Piper SandlerStephen Scouten$125$106 +18.5%Jul 27, 2026
See 32 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SouthState Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for SouthState Bank, National Association that provides a range of banking services and products to individuals and companies in the United States. The company offers checking accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, and time deposit accounts; interest-bearing deposits, certificates of deposits, and other time deposits; and interest-bearing transaction accounts. It provides bond accounting services for correspondents, asset/liability consulting related activities, international wires, and other clearing and corporate checking account services.…

Historical context

All SSB earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T01:00:40.350201+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T01:00:40.347392+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.