S&P Global Inc. · SPGI · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

SPGI Beats on Revenue and EPS as AI Adoption Accelerates

S&P Global delivered a strong start to fiscal 2026, beating consensus on both revenue ($4.17B vs. $4.08B estimate) and EPS ($4.70 vs. $4.58 estimate), powered by 10% year-over-year revenue growth and 100 basis points of margin expansion to 51.8%. AI integration is gaining tangible traction with over one-third of Capital IQ Pro users engaging with new AI features and API call volume growing more than 5x quarter-over-quarter. The Mobility spin-off remains on track for mid-2026. The market reaction was muted on the event day (-0.37% abnormal move), but the stock has subsequently drifted -4.1%, potentially reflecting concerns about the lowered Energy growth outlook and persistent bank loan volume weakness. With the consensus price target of $541 implying roughly 28% upside from the current $424, analysts remain broadly constructive on the franchise.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $130.19B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

S&P Global Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions in the global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through five segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, S&P Global Mobility, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P Global Market Intelligence segment provides multi-asset-class data and analytics integrated with purpose-built workflow solutions. This segment offers Data, Analytics & Insights, a desktop product suite that provides data, analytics, and third-party research for global finance and corporate professionals; research, reference data, market data, derived analytics, and valuation services; enterprise solutions, such as software and workflow solutions; and credit and risk solutions for selling Ratings' credit ratings and related data and research, analytics, and financial risk solutions.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.70 Consensus $5
EPS surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.17B Consensus $4.08B
Revenue surprise +2.1% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SPGI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.15 Q4 '23 actual $3.13, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3.66 Q1 '24 actual $4.01, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.65 Q2 '24 actual $4.04, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.64 Q3 '24 actual $3.89, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.21 Q2 '25 actual $4.43, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.42 Q3 '25 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.33 Q4 '25 actual $4.30, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4.58 Q1 '26 actual $4.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.81 Q3 '26 estimate $4.62 Q4 '26 estimate $4.26 Q1 '27 estimate $5.22

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish2485.7%
Neutral414.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$424.36Current
$407Low
$519.47Average
$629High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 20, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 7, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 7, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $424.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$521$457.38 +22.8%Jul 17, 2026
RBC CapitalAshish Sabadra$510$443.91 +20.2%Jul 7, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$505$447.22 +19.0%Jul 7, 2026
BarclaysManav Patnaik$565$417.48 +33.1%Feb 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$550$412.94 +29.6%Feb 17, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$551$390.76 +29.8%Feb 12, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Motemaden$625$400.3 +47.3%Feb 11, 2026
BMO CapitalJeffrey Silber$482$401.26 +13.6%Feb 11, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$489$401.08 +15.2%Feb 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$546$401.08 +28.7%Feb 11, 2026
See 50 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.9% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.1% Up to 20 sessions
SPGISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth accelerated from 9% in FY2025 to 10% YoY in Q1 FY2026. The Energy segment revenue growth outlook was modestly lowered to 4.5-6% constant currency. Share repurchases stepped up to $1B in the quarter, with full-year buyback plans raised to approximately $4.5B. New developments include the planned divestiture of the Upstream software portfolio (target H2 2026 or early 2027) and the launch of blockchain-native index products (iBoxx U.S. Treasuries and a tokenized S&P 500 with Centrifuge). API call volume grew more than 5x quarter-over-quarter, signaling rapid AI-ready data adoption.

Guidance delta

Overall guidance was maintained. The sole change was a modest reduction in the Energy segment revenue growth outlook to 4.5-6% constant currency. Full-year FY2026 guidance for 6-8% organic constant-currency revenue growth, 50-75 bps of margin expansion, and EPS of $19.40-$19.65 remains unchanged from the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 10% YoY to $4.17B, beating consensus by 2.1%; adjusted EPS of $4.70 beat by 2.6%.
  • Margins expanded 100 bps to 51.8% despite macro volatility, including geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict.
  • AI adoption is accelerating: over one-third of Capital IQ Pro users engage with new AI features; API calls grew 5x QoQ.
  • Mobility spin-off remains on track for mid-2026 with an associated public debt offering planned.
  • Share repurchases totaled $1B in the quarter; full-year buyback target raised to approximately $4.5B.

Management priorities

  • Launch CERA Titan AI platform later in 2026.
  • Complete Mobility spin-off by mid-2026 with associated public debt offering.
  • Expand AI integrations via MCP apps, plug-ins for Claude, and other LLM partnerships.
  • Advance tokenized index products and blockchain initiatives with partners like Centrifuge.
  • Continue share repurchases targeting approximately 100% of adjusted free cash flow.
  • Divest Upstream software portfolio with closing target in H2 2026 or early 2027.

Related earnings events

Financial Services

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T22:06:47.895215+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T22:06:47.891974+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.