Solventum Corporation · SOLV · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Solventum Q4: Growth improved, but execution risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a measured version of the growth hypothesis for Solventum: improving volume, new products, autonomous coding, and transformation initiatives provide potential growth drivers, but the evidence is balanced by execution, divestiture, SKU, FX, and tariff risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEHealthcare $14.54B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.31
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.05B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.4% Event window
SPY move +1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -6.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.3% Up to 20 sessions
SOLVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis highlights 2.3% Q4 organic sales growth, three consecutive quarters of volume improvement, a planned Purification & Filtration divestiture to Thermo Fisher, 2025 financial guidance, and expanded transformation initiatives including autonomous coding and a Brazil plant.

Guidance delta

Management supplied 2025 guidance of 1%-2% organic growth, 20%-21% operating margin, EPS of $5.45-$5.65, and free cash flow of $450-$550 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 organic sales grew 2.3%, with volume improving for a third consecutive quarter.
  • Management emphasized commercial excellence, product development, and strategic M&A.
  • The Purification & Filtration divestiture is intended to be EPS-neutral and support debt reduction.
  • AI-driven autonomous coding, ERP implementation, and a new Brazil plant are key execution areas.

Management priorities

  • Advance the three-phase transformation and commercial excellence initiatives.
  • Complete ERP implementations and construction of the Brazil plant.
  • Continue SKU rationalization and expand autonomous coding and data-integrity offerings.
  • Pursue tuck-in acquisitions beginning in early 2026 and reduce debt.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SOLV REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $2B, None Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish975.0%
Neutral216.7%
Bearish18.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$85.41Current
$43Low
$85.1Average
$113High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $85.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$100$84.82 +17.1%Aug 6, 2026
UBSPatrick Wood$101$87.47 +18.3%Aug 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$113$87.47 +32.3%Aug 6, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$102$87.47 +19.4%Aug 6, 2026
BTIGRyan Zimmerman$95$87.47 +11.2%Aug 6, 2026
See 25 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Solventum Corporation, established in 2023 and headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota, operates as a healthcare entity dedicated to pioneering, producing, and commercializing diverse solutions that address critical needs for both customers and patients. The company's business activities are organized into four principal segments. The Medsurg division furnishes various products and services, including sophisticated wound care items, intravenous (I.V.) site management tools, sterilization assurance systems, temperature regulation devices, surgical instruments, stethoscopes, and medical electrodes.…

Historical context

All SOLV earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-13T00:00:14.471520+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T11:30:42.178724+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T11:30:42.175943+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.