The Southern Company · SO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Southern Company: Large-load growth lifts Q2, capital needs remain

Southern Company’s Q2 supports the view that resilient large-load and data-center demand can drive growth, but the thesis depends on regulatory execution, generation buildout, financing discipline, and customer concentration.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $97.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.13 Consensus $1.01
EPS surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.98B Consensus $7.23B
Revenue surprise -3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
SOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, contracted large-load capacity rose from more than 11 GW to more than 17 GW, data-center demand was reported up 55% year over year, and management highlighted a $700 million ATM program alongside a reduced projected equity need through 2030.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reaffirmed full-year guidance near the top of the $4.50-$4.60 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.13 beat estimates, with first-half adjusted EPS at $2.46.
  • Contracted large-load capacity exceeded 17 GW, while data-center demand rose 55% year over year.
  • Management outlined 10 GW of new generation and continued equity funding for capital projects.

Management priorities

  • Develop large-load and data-center capacity, including late-stage projects.
  • Build battery, combustion-turbine, and other generation assets while pursuing new RFPs.
  • Fund the capital program while targeting a 17% FFO-to-debt ratio by 2029.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $7B Q1 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $7B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $8B Q3 '25 actual $8B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '26 actual $8B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $8B Q4 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '27 estimate $9B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1030.3%
Neutral2060.6%
Bearish39.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$84.57Current
$71Low
$89.94Average
$112High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keybanc Underweight Sector WeightDowngradeJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $84.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$97$92.7 +14.7%Aug 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$106$94.34 +25.3%Jul 31, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$104$97.25 +23.0%Jul 27, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$79$95.8 -6.6%Jul 23, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$102$94.8 +20.6%Jul 22, 2026
See 59 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Southern Company operates as an energy utility, primarily involved in the production, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Its operations are segmented into Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services. The company also undertakes the development, construction, acquisition, ownership, and management of various power generation assets, including renewable energy ventures, and supplies electricity to the wholesale market. Complementing its power business, it distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, while also offering gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and managing gas pipeline investments.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T20:11:29.741357+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T12:10:57.175994+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T12:10:57.171801+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.