The Southern Company · SO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Southern Company: Large-load growth lifts Q2, capital needs remain

Southern Company’s Q2 supports the view that resilient large-load and data-center demand can drive growth, but the thesis depends on regulatory execution, generation buildout, financing discipline, and customer concentration.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $97.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.13 Consensus $1.01
EPS surprise +11.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.98B Consensus $7.23B
Revenue surprise -3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.8% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.6% Up to 20 sessions
SOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, contracted large-load capacity rose from more than 11 GW to more than 17 GW, data-center demand was reported up 55% year over year, and management highlighted a $700 million ATM program alongside a reduced projected equity need through 2030.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reaffirmed full-year guidance near the top of the $4.50-$4.60 range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.13 beat estimates, with first-half adjusted EPS at $2.46.
  • Contracted large-load capacity exceeded 17 GW, while data-center demand rose 55% year over year.
  • Management outlined 10 GW of new generation and continued equity funding for capital projects.

Management priorities

  • Develop large-load and data-center capacity, including late-stage projects.
  • Build battery, combustion-turbine, and other generation assets while pursuing new RFPs.
  • Fund the capital program while targeting a 17% FFO-to-debt ratio by 2029.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.91 Q1 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $1.10, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.34 Q3 '24 actual $1.43, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.88 Q2 '25 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.51 Q3 '25 actual $1.60, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.55, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.21 Q1 '26 actual $1.32, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.01 Q2 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.63 Q4 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '27 estimate $1.34
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1030.3%
Neutral2060.6%
Bearish39.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$84.57Current
$71Low
$89.94Average
$112High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keybanc Underweight Sector WeightDowngradeJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 18, 2026
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMar 6, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform In LineUpgradeMar 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeFeb 20, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainFeb 20, 2026
Mizuho Outperform NeutralUpgradeFeb 20, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 17, 2025
Jefferies Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 15, 2025
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainDec 12, 2025
Ladenburg Thalmann Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 17, 2025
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 2, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 29, 2024
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 2, 2024
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainAug 2, 2024
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 15, 2024
Credit Suisse Underperform UnderperformMaintainJan 18, 2023
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainFeb 20, 2020
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 27, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainDec 18, 2019
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 12, 2019
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Scotia Howard Weil Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 13, 2016
CRT Capital Hold HoldMaintainMar 3, 2014
Hilliard Lyons Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 31, 2014
BGC Financial Hold HoldMaintainJun 20, 2013
ISI Group Buy HoldUpgradeNov 6, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $84.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$97$92.7 +14.7%Aug 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$106$94.34 +25.3%Jul 31, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$104$97.25 +23.0%Jul 27, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$79$95.8 -6.6%Jul 23, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$102$94.8 +20.6%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$89$94.84 +5.2%Jun 24, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$99$94 +17.1%Jun 22, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$98$92.53 +15.9%Jun 18, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$100$91.93 +18.2%May 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$87$94.12 +2.9%May 21, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$105$97.11 +24.2%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$104$97.05 +23.0%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$99$97.59 +17.1%Apr 9, 2026
Cowen & Co.Shelby Tucker$112$97.11 +32.4%Mar 6, 2026
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$111$96.29 +31.3%Mar 5, 2026
JefferiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$102$95.22 +20.6%Feb 23, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$103$94.44 +21.8%Feb 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$103$94.58 +21.8%Feb 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$104$95.05 +23.0%Feb 20, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$96$95.05 +13.5%Feb 20, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$105$87.35 +24.2%Jan 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$85$88.16 +0.5%Jan 21, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$84$88.9 -0.7%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$88$88.42 +4.1%Jan 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$94$85.71 +11.2%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$81$86.1 -4.2%Dec 16, 2025
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$99$84.71 +17.1%Dec 12, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$76$84.73 -10.1%Dec 12, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$88$84.06 +4.1%Dec 11, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$97$88.58 +14.7%Nov 20, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$91$88.99 +7.6%Nov 20, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$103$92.73 +21.8%Nov 5, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$97$95.4 +14.7%Oct 27, 2025
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$107$95.4 +26.5%Oct 27, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$99$97.94 +17.1%Oct 22, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$87$100.06 +2.9%Oct 15, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$70$98.08 -17.2%Oct 14, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$104$96.13 +23.0%Oct 10, 2025
Evercore ISINicholas Amicucci$103$95.49 +21.8%Oct 6, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$99$93.89 +17.1%Oct 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$92$93.8 +8.8%Sep 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$91$89.97 +7.6%Mar 20, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$83$89.84 -1.9%Oct 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdel$90$89.44 +6.4%Sep 16, 2024
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$90$78.71 +6.4%May 15, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$80$75.46 -5.4%May 3, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$66$68.73 -22.0%Apr 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesPaul Fremont$76$71.1 -10.1%Apr 2, 2024
CitigroupRyan Levine$82$67.18 -3.0%Feb 6, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$77$70.58 -9.0%Jan 11, 2024
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$74$69.14 -12.5%Dec 16, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$63$70.37 -25.5%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$59$65.09 -30.2%Nov 11, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$74.69 -20.8%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$77$74.97 -9.0%Apr 26, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$76$76.5 -10.1%Apr 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$68$76.61 -19.6%Apr 20, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$80$76.03 -5.4%Apr 19, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesJulien Dumoulin-Smith$71$67.89 -16.0%Feb 8, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesPaul Fremont$67$67.83 -20.8%Jan 10, 2022
UBSRoss Fowler$71$67.55 -16.0%Jan 5, 2022
BarclaysEric Beaumont$75$60.48 -11.3%Nov 30, 2021
GuggenheimShahriar Pourreza$72$64.83 -14.9%Sep 7, 2021
Argus ResearchAngus Kelleher-Ferguson$73$62.04 -13.7%May 19, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Southern Company operates as an energy utility, primarily involved in the production, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Its operations are segmented into Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services. The company also undertakes the development, construction, acquisition, ownership, and management of various power generation assets, including renewable energy ventures, and supplies electricity to the wholesale market. Complementing its power business, it distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, while also offering gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and managing gas pipeline investments.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T20:11:29.741357+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T12:10:57.175994+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T12:10:57.171801+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.