Snowflake Inc. · SNOW · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Snowflake pairs 30% product growth with AI expansion and Observe deal

The supplied analysis supports the view that Snowflake’s growth case is being reinforced by AI workload adoption, customer expansion, product velocity, and ecosystem partnerships. Evidence against an unqualified conclusion includes maintained rather than raised guidance, dependence on sustained AI usage, consumption variability, and execution risk from Observe.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $118.53B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.32 Consensus $0.27
EPS surprise +17.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.28B Consensus $1.26B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.3% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.2% Up to 20 sessions
SNOWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Snowflake’s current-quarter analysis adds the approximately $600 million Observe acquisition, Snowflake Postgres, a record contract exceeding $400 million, and FY27 guidance for 27% revenue growth with a 12.5% operating margin. Compared with the prior quarter, the emphasis shifted from reaching an early AI revenue milestone and raising FY26 product-revenue guidance to scaling AI products, entering observability, and integrating a new acquisition.

Guidance delta

Maintained: FY27 guidance assumes 27% revenue growth and a 12.5% operating margin; no increase or reduction was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 30% year-over-year product-revenue growth and 42% RPO growth.
  • Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code were identified as accelerating adoption and new revenue streams.
  • The Observe acquisition expands the company into observability while execution and integration remain key watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Scale Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code adoption.
  • Maintain product velocity and deepen partnerships with SAP, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google Cloud.
  • Integrate Observe and pursue observability cross-sell opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNOW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $760M Q4 '24 actual $775M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $788M Q1 '25 actual $829M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $853M Q2 '25 actual $869M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 actual $2B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4381.1%
Neutral917.0%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$341.99Previous close
$121Low
$309.54Average
$525High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $341.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$450$347.4 +31.6%Sep 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$436$356.47 +27.5%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$425$370.96 +24.3%Sep 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$440$374.72 +28.7%Sep 3, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$450$372.06 +31.6%Sep 3, 2026
See 219 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Snowflake Inc. delivers a cloud-centric data platform to customers across both the United States and international markets. The company's core offering, known as the Data Cloud, enables users to unify disparate data sources into a singular, reliable foundation. This unified data then facilitates the extraction of crucial business intelligence, the creation of innovative data-driven applications, and secure data sharing. This adaptable platform serves a wide array of organizations, encompassing various sizes and industries. Originating in 2012, the enterprise was initially recognized as Snowflake Computing, Inc., before officially rebranding to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Its principal operations are conducted from Bozeman, Montana.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T09:56:04.895099+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T09:56:04.892241+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.