Snowflake Inc. · SNOW · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Snowflake pairs stronger growth with expanding AI execution risks

The latest analysis supports the view that resilient demand and earnings growth can strengthen Snowflake’s next-year trajectory: product revenue growth accelerated, net revenue retention improved, AI adoption broadened and guidance was raised. The countercase is that the durability of AI-related consumption, competitive intensity and execution across new products and acquisitions remain unproven.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $127.86B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.35 Consensus $0.27
EPS surprise +31.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.14B Consensus $1.09B
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +20.3% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +19.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 8.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.8% Up to 20 sessions
SNOWSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current call showed faster product revenue growth, higher net revenue retention, broader AI deployment and additional platform expansion through Snowflake Postgres and OpenFlow. Guidance was raised again, while analyst concerns shifted toward the durability of AI-driven consumption, second-half visibility and integration progress.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 product revenue guidance and increased Q3 guidance, extending the prior quarter’s positive guidance trend.

Key takeaways

  • Product revenue growth accelerated versus the prior-quarter analysis, with core analytics and AI-related offerings both contributing.
  • Net revenue retention improved to 125%, while AI adoption and Azure usage were highlighted as important growth signals.
  • Management raised FY2026 product revenue guidance and increased Q3 guidance.
  • The product roadmap expanded through Snowflake Intelligence, Cortex AI, Gen2 Warehouse, OpenFlow and planned Snowflake Postgres.
  • The key debate is whether AI-driven consumption remains durable and whether rapid product and acquisition integration can be executed well.

Management priorities

  • Expand enterprise AI adoption across the data lifecycle.
  • Scale Snowflake Intelligence, Cortex AI and other AI-driven capabilities.
  • Broaden workloads through Snowpark Connect, Spark integration and Snowflake Postgres.
  • Grow strategic cloud partnerships, especially Azure, while expanding internationally.
  • Continue product rollout and go-to-market scaling.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNOW REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $760M Q4 '24 actual $775M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $788M Q1 '25 actual $829M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $853M Q2 '25 actual $869M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 actual $2B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4381.1%
Neutral917.0%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$368.89Current
$121Low
$309.54Average
$525High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $368.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$450$347.4 +22.0%Sep 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$436$356.47 +18.2%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$425$370.96 +15.2%Sep 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$440$374.72 +19.3%Sep 3, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$450$372.06 +22.0%Sep 3, 2026
See 219 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Snowflake Inc. delivers a cloud-centric data platform to customers across both the United States and international markets. The company's core offering, known as the Data Cloud, enables users to unify disparate data sources into a singular, reliable foundation. This unified data then facilitates the extraction of crucial business intelligence, the creation of innovative data-driven applications, and secure data sharing. This adaptable platform serves a wide array of organizations, encompassing various sizes and industries. Originating in 2012, the enterprise was initially recognized as Snowflake Computing, Inc., before officially rebranding to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Its principal operations are conducted from Bozeman, Montana.

Historical context

All SNOW earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T04:10:42.916672+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T04:10:42.913776+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.