Sea Limited · SE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Sea Limited: Broad-based growth, guidance maintained in Q2 2026

The Q2 evidence supports the case for resilient demand and continued growth: all three core businesses expanded, while management maintained its full-year outlook. The counterpoint is that the next leg depends on sustaining GMV and margins amid competition, seasonality, credit risk, and fulfillment investment.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $61.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $0.86
EPS surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.79B Consensus $7.12B
Revenue surprise +9.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +14.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +14.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -17.3% Up to 20 sessions
SESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, revenue growth accelerated from 47% to 48% year over year, while reported GMV growth moderated from 30% to 28%. Management continued emphasizing AI, logistics, ShopeeVIP, Brazil, and new gaming releases, and maintained its guidance.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management kept approximately 25% full-year GMV growth guidance and a target of more than $1 billion in full-year adjusted EBITDA.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue rose 48% year over year to $7.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of $917 million.
  • Shopee GMV increased 28% and advertising revenue 70%; Monee's loan book grew 52% to $11.1 billion.
  • Garena bookings rose 15%, while management maintained full-year GMV growth guidance of about 25%.

Management priorities

  • Scale logistics, instant delivery, and a capex-light fulfillment model.
  • Expand ShopeeVIP, content, and AI-enabled seller, recommendation, and advertising tools.
  • Develop Brazil fintech operations and launch new Garena titles.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $5B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8B Q4 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '27 estimate $9B Q2 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3170.5%
Neutral1125.0%
Bearish24.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$102.65Current
$50Low
$175.23Average
$462.22High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 4, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 14, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 4, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $102.65. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$152$112.09 +48.1%Sep 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyDivya Gangahar Kothiyal$153$128.11 +49.1%Aug 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$156$127.59 +52.0%Aug 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$122$93.52 +18.9%May 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyDivya Gangahar Kothiyal$121$85.16 +17.9%Mar 13, 2026
See 47 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across Southeast Asia, Latin America, other parts of Asia, and various international markets, Sea Limited and its group of companies specialize in three core areas: digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services. Under its Garena brand, the company provides a comprehensive digital entertainment platform. This platform allows users to play a variety of online games on both mobile devices and personal computers, participate in eSports events, and access additional entertainment content. Key features include live-streamed gameplay, as well as social functionalities like user chat rooms and online forums. Furthermore, Sea Limited manages Shopee, a prominent e-commerce platform designed primarily for mobile users.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-11T16:15:44.006617+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-16T01:23:13.900088+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T20:10:49.169366+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T20:10:49.166627+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.