Sea Limited · SE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Sea Limited: Growth Broadens Across Shopee, Monee and Garena

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view of Sea Limited's growth trajectory: all three businesses showed strong year-over-year growth, while maintained guidance and cost improvements provide support. The main tests are whether Shopee margins and GMV remain durable, whether Monee can expand without weakening credit quality, and whether Garena's momentum persists beyond collaborations and launches.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $56.14B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.89B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.2% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.2% Up to 20 sessions
SESPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis reports stronger Q1 operating momentum: revenue and adjusted EBITDA accelerated, Shopee ad revenue and logistics efficiency improved, Monee's loan book expanded, and Garena bookings benefited from new launches and the Naruto collaboration. Management also reaffirmed its 2025 growth targets while outlining further fintech, AI, logistics and gaming expansion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2025 guidance: 20% GMV growth for Shopee and double-digit bookings growth for Garena.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis says Q1 revenue rose 30% year over year to $4.8 billion and adjusted EBITDA rose 136% to $947 million.
  • Shopee GMV grew 22% year over year, ad revenue grew 50%, and logistics cost per order declined in Asia and Brazil.
  • Monee's loan book expanded 75% year over year to $5.8 billion, while the 90-day NPL ratio was 1.1%.
  • Garena bookings rose 51% year over year, helped by the Naruto collaboration and new game launches.
  • The supplied analysis identifies AI, cost optimisation, logistics and fintech cross-selling as ongoing growth drivers.

Management priorities

  • Expand Monee in Brazil and add fintech products such as two-wheel financing.
  • Launch new Garena titles, continue Free Fire collaborations and invest in the gaming portfolio.
  • Roll out AI for ad targeting, product recommendation and internal efficiency.
  • Enhance logistics and same-day delivery in key markets.
  • Diversify fintech funding through bank partnerships and structured products.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $5B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $7B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $8B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8B Q4 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '27 estimate $9B Q2 '27 estimate $10B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3170.5%
Neutral1125.0%
Bearish24.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$93.77Current
$50Low
$175.23Average
$462.22High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainAug 12, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 4, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 14, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 4, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $93.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$152$112.09 +62.1%Sep 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyDivya Gangahar Kothiyal$153$128.11 +63.2%Aug 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$156$127.59 +66.4%Aug 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$122$93.52 +30.1%May 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyDivya Gangahar Kothiyal$121$85.16 +29.0%Mar 13, 2026
See 47 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across Southeast Asia, Latin America, other parts of Asia, and various international markets, Sea Limited and its group of companies specialize in three core areas: digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services. Under its Garena brand, the company provides a comprehensive digital entertainment platform. This platform allows users to play a variety of online games on both mobile devices and personal computers, participate in eSports events, and access additional entertainment content. Key features include live-streamed gameplay, as well as social functionalities like user chat rooms and online forums. Furthermore, Sea Limited manages Shopee, a prominent e-commerce platform designed primarily for mobile users.…

Historical context

All SE earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-29T00:02:51.244038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T04:20:41.864020+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T04:20:41.861033+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.