Service Corporation International · SCI · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

SCI: Pre-need strength offsets transition and volume risks

SCI’s Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: strong pre-need demand, insurance-based contract growth, AI-enabled sales tools and demographic tailwinds may support earnings. The thesis remains conditional on margin normalization, funeral volumes and trust-fund income.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $10.41B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.90 Consensus $0.89
EPS surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.10B Consensus $1.08B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
SCISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management emphasized the shift toward fixed sales compensation, AI tools for counselor training and customer interaction grading, and a broader rollout of cremation-focused products. Cash-flow performance led to a higher full-year operating cash-flow guidance midpoint, while full-year EPS guidance was reaffirmed.

Guidance delta

Full-year EPS guidance was reaffirmed. The operating cash-flow guidance midpoint increased, and maintenance capex was raised slightly.

Key takeaways

  • Pre-need funeral and cemetery sales were described as strong, supporting the quarter’s modest EPS and revenue growth.
  • Management expects margin improvement as selling compensation normalizes and deferred-revenue backlogs are recognized.
  • Capital allocation remained active, with continued acquisitions, share repurchases and dividend growth highlighted.

Management priorities

  • Improve sales-force retention and margin stability through the fixed-compensation transition.
  • Expand AI-enabled sales training, feedback and customer-interaction tools.
  • Invest in new funeral homes and cemeteries, acquisitions, cremation products and digital strategy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SCI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B Q3 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy10 ratings
Bullish990.0%
Neutral110.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$76.37Current
$84Low
$92.71Average
$105High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 2, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2025
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 1, 2024
Show 5 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $76.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$105$86.09 +37.5%Jul 31, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$93$79.4 +21.8%May 1, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$100$83.77 +30.9%Oct 30, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$94$82.8 +23.1%Oct 22, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$95$82.53 +24.4%Oct 13, 2025
See 5 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Service Corporation International (SCI) is a leading provider of comprehensive end-of-life products and services across the United States and Canada. The company structures its extensive operations into two primary divisions: Funeral Services and Cemetery Operations. SCI's physical footprint encompasses a vast network of funeral homes, cemeteries, and crematories, including numerous integrated locations that offer both funeral and cemetery services. Their professional offerings span the entire funeral and cremation process, from the logistical aspects of facility and vehicle use to the compassionate arrangement and direction of services. This includes essential tasks such as removal, preparation, embalming, and cremation, alongside memorialization options, travel protection plans, and catering. Clients can also procure a wide array of funeral merchandise.…

Historical context

All SCI earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:09:46.605721+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T14:10:40.525143+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T14:10:40.522441+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.