RTX Corporation · RTX · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
RTX beats Q1 estimates and raises FY outlook despite weak stock reaction
RTX's Q1 beat was driven by double-digit organic growth across commercial and defense, EPS up 21% year over year, and a record $271B backlog with 1.14 book-to-bill. Management responded by raising full-year sales and EPS guidance, signaling confidence in sustained demand from rising global defense budgets, GTF engine and aftermarket momentum, and multi-year munitions framework agreements. The sharply negative market reaction (roughly -3.7% on the session, with further drift lower) stands in contrast to the beat and raised outlook, suggesting investors were focused on margin pressure from tariffs and rare-earth costs, heavy capex, and GTF cash-compensation headwinds rather than the reported results.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
RTX delivered adjusted EPS of $1.78 versus $1.51 estimated (+17.9% surprise) and revenue of $22.08B versus $21.46B estimated (+2.9%), with adjusted sales up 10% organically. Backlog rose to a record $271B from $268B, and the company raised its full-year adjusted sales outlook by $500M and EPS outlook by $0.10. Despite the beat and raise, shares fell about 3.7% on the session (versus a 0.7% benchmark move) and drifted another roughly 6.8% lower subsequently.
Guidance delta
Raised full-year 2026 adjusted sales outlook by $500M and adjusted EPS outlook by $0.10; guidance sentiment moved from maintained (Q4) to raised (Q1), supported by a record backlog and strong defense awards.
Key takeaways
- Q1 adjusted sales up 10% organically to $22.1B; adjusted EPS up 21% YoY to $1.78; free cash flow of $1.3B
- Record backlog of $271B with book-to-bill of 1.14, signaling sustained order flow
- Full-year adjusted sales outlook raised by $500M and EPS outlook by $0.10
- Defense secured over $12B of new awards plus framework agreements for munitions
- GTF Advantage engine certified, with Hot Section Plus retrofit introduced
- Shares fell ~3.7% on the session despite the beat, with further drift lower since
Management priorities
- Expand capacity at Pratt's Columbus, GA ($200M) and Raytheon's Huntsville, AL ($115M), Tucson and Andover sites
- Deploy robotics and automation from Singapore across other MRO sites
- Commercially launch the GTF Advantage engine and Hot Section Plus retrofit
- Scale hybrid-electric propulsion technology for regional aircraft
- Finalize and execute framework agreements for critical munitions production
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 23, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 2, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 28, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Baird | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Alembic Global | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 15, 2023 |
| DZ Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 14, 2023 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 31, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 26, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Apr 12, 2023 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 10, 2020 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jun 2, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 7, 2020 |
| Drexel Hamilton | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 19, 2012 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 11, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $189.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $223 | $190.99 | +17.7% | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $232 | $215.22 | +22.5% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $245 | $211.9 | +29.4% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $238 | $217.52 | +25.7% | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $212.79 | +32.0% | Jul 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $250 | $213.55 | +32.0% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $245 | $213.24 | +29.4% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $209.16 | +26.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $240 | $209.16 | +26.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $215 | $209.16 | +13.5% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $209.16 | +21.4% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $220 | $172.55 | +16.2% | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $240 | $203.77 | +26.7% | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $204 | $201.38 | +7.7% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $225 | $199.46 | +18.8% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $230 | $200.88 | +21.4% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $225 | $201.28 | +18.8% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $208 | $201.28 | +9.8% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $235 | $201.28 | +24.1% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $225 | $201.28 | +18.8% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Vertical Research | Robert Stallard | $227 | $201.28 | +19.9% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Charles Minervino | $230 | $198.13 | +21.4% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $189 | $188.61 | -0.2% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $199 | $187.25 | +5.1% | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $190 | $172.35 | +0.3% | Nov 25, 2025 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $202 | $173.04 | +6.7% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $215 | $173.04 | +13.5% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $203 | $178 | +7.2% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $205 | $173.04 | +8.2% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Noah Poponak | $168 | $173.04 | -11.3% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $195 | $169.27 | +3.0% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $181 | $166.58 | -4.4% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $157 | $152.61 | -17.1% | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Douglas Harned | $154 | $146.87 | -18.7% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $140 | $116.01 | -26.1% | Jan 2, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $140 | $117.61 | -26.1% | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $131 | $125.43 | -30.8% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $130 | $125.43 | -31.4% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $120 | $127.21 | -36.6% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Kristine Liwag | $130 | $125.53 | -31.4% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Christopher Rolland | $150 | $125.53 | -20.8% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $130 | $125.53 | -31.4% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| UBS | Gavin Parsons | $133 | $125.53 | -29.8% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Noah Poponak | $113 | $125.53 | -40.3% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ronald Epstein | $145 | $125.53 | -23.4% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $129 | $123.67 | -31.9% | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Ronald Epstein | $140 | $117.49 | -26.1% | Jul 31, 2024 |
| US Capital Advisors | Pete Skibitski | $134 | $116.88 | -29.3% | Jul 30, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $115 | $114.98 | -39.3% | Jul 26, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $102 | $104.99 | -46.1% | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $100 | $102.44 | -47.2% | Apr 30, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Matthew Akers | $119 | $101.02 | -37.2% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $96 | $100.71 | -49.3% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $105 | $100.78 | -44.6% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Matthew Akers | $120 | $97.53 | -36.6% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $82 | $75.1 | -56.7% | Sep 12, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $105 | $98.18 | -44.6% | Jan 13, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $103 | $99.87 | -45.6% | Jan 12, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $98.78 | -43.5% | Dec 12, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $104 | $99.63 | -45.1% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $90.27 | -48.3% | Jul 27, 2022 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $112 | $94.91 | -40.9% | May 1, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $99.19 | -44.0% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Ken Herbert | $125 | $102.11 | -34.0% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Barclays | David Strauss | $107 | $97.04 | -43.5% | Mar 14, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Michael Maugeri | $111 | $94.36 | -41.4% | Feb 17, 2022 |
| Robert W. Baird | Peter Arment | $106 | $88.98 | -44.0% | Jan 26, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Robert Spingarn | $101 | $86.7 | -46.7% | Jul 27, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Cai von Rumohr | $105 | $86.7 | -44.6% | Jul 27, 2021 |
| Langenberg & Co. | Brian Langenberg | $100 | $82.2 | -47.2% | May 3, 2021 |
| UBS | Myles Walton | $96 | $81.16 | -49.3% | Apr 28, 2021 |
| Capital One Financial | Jonathan Raviv | $85 | $81.16 | -55.1% | Apr 28, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationRTX Corporation, a major player in the aerospace and defense sectors, provides sophisticated systems and extensive services to a diverse global clientele. This includes commercial entities, military organizations, and government agencies, both within the United States and internationally. The company's operations are divided into three primary business units: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins Aerospace segment delivers a broad range of aerospace and defense products, alongside comprehensive aftermarket support solutions. Its customer base spans manufacturers of civil and military aircraft, commercial airlines, and operators in regional, business, general aviation, defense, and commercial space ventures. This division's offerings cover the design, production, and maintenance of aircraft interior components, such as oxygen systems, food and beverage preparation and storage facilities, galley systems, and lavatory and wastewater management.…
Historical context
All RTX earningsIndustrials peers this season
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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- AZOFY2026 Q4 · September 22, 2026+3.6% EPS+3.3% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T19:20:58.699024+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T19:20:58.696306+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.