Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · RS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Reliance reports record volume as margins face inventory and LIFO pressure

The quarter supports a measured view: diversified demand, market-share gains and cash generation remain constructive, but margin pressure from inventory, tariffs and LIFO accounting limits the strength of the near-term earnings signal.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $21.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.64 Consensus $3.68
EPS surprise -1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.65B Consensus $3.44B
Revenue surprise +6.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
RSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Volume and U.S. market share reached records, but excess inventory, tariff effects and LIFO expense compressed margins. Management maintained its margin framework, guided Q4 EPS to $2.65-$2.85, and signaled lower 2026 capex.

Guidance delta

Maintained; Q4 EPS guidance was $2.65-$2.85 with flat to slightly improved FIFO gross margins. 2026 capex is expected to be lower than the 2025 budget.

Key takeaways

  • Record third-quarter ton sales lifted U.S. market share to 17.1%.
  • Management kept its 29%-31% sustainable gross-margin range despite inventory, tariff and LIFO headwinds.
  • Q4 guidance calls for EPS of $2.65-$2.85 and flat to slightly improved FIFO gross margins.
  • Strong operating cash flow supported dividends, repurchases and investment in processing equipment.
  • Management expects inventory conditions to improve into 2026 while reducing capex.

Management priorities

  • Invest in advanced processing equipment and growth initiatives
  • Pursue opportunistic acquisitions
  • Continue share repurchases
  • Reduce 2026 capex while maintaining growth projects
  • Improve aerospace inventory levels

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, match Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, match Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q3 '26 actual $5B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q2 '27 estimate $5B Q3 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish936.0%
Neutral1456.0%
Bearish28.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$415.62Current
$230Low
$359.7Average
$421High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 5, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainApr 28, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $415.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$420$421.07 +1.1%Oct 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$420$404.06 +1.1%Oct 14, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$421$400.31 +1.3%Oct 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$372$381.91 -10.5%Jul 9, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$418$398.63 +0.6%Jun 24, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS) operates as a premier diversified metal solutions provider and a leading metal service center, serving clients across the United States, Canada, and globally. The company provides an extensive inventory of approximately 100,000 metal products, including alloys, aluminum, brass, copper, carbon steel, stainless steel, titanium, and various specialty steels.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T04:10:40.864767+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T04:10:40.861891+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.