Rockwell Automation, Inc. · ROK · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2025

Rockwell expands margins as automation demand offsets softer volumes

The supplied call analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: cost controls, automation demand and software initiatives were positive, while lower organic sales, tariff exposure and Lifecycle Services delays temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $50.16B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.09
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.97B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +11.9% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +11.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.2% Up to 20 sessions
ROKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described stronger automation and data-center power-distribution demand, quantified second-half tariff exposure at $125 million, expanded OTTO production plans to Milwaukee, and introduced a GenAI copilot for FactoryTalk Design Studio.

Guidance delta

Organic-sales guidance was maintained; management raised full-year EPS guidance to a $9.70 midpoint and lifted the segment-margin target to 20%.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 20.4% segment margin and strong cost discipline in Q2.
  • Organic sales declined 4% year over year, while pricing actions largely offset tariff impacts and the full-year organic-sales range was unchanged.
  • E-commerce and warehouse automation grew about 45% year over year; Lifecycle Services faced project delays despite a 1.07 book-to-bill ratio.
  • The cost-reduction program delivered $155 million of savings in the first half, with a full-year target above $250 million.

Management priorities

  • Scale US production of OTTO autonomous mobile robots
  • Launch FactoryTalk Design Studio features including a GenAI copilot
  • Continue SKU rationalization and cost-out initiatives
  • Pursue market share in motor control center and power distribution solutions
  • Use the Clearpath acquisition to broaden autonomous-robot offerings

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ROK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.16 Q2 '24 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.08 Q3 '24 actual $2.71, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.40 Q4 '24 actual $2.47, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.67 Q3 '25 actual $2.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.94 Q4 '25 actual $3.34, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.47 Q1 '26 actual $2.75, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.88 Q2 '26 actual $3.30, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.38 Q3 '26 actual $3.49, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.69 Q1 '27 estimate $3.08 Q2 '27 estimate $3.75
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish1126.8%
Neutral2868.3%
Bearish24.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$441.9Current
$205Low
$362.59Average
$545High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 6, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 6, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 6, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 6, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMar 31, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 30, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 20, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeDec 16, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2025
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2025
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainMay 15, 2025
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 13, 2024
Berenberg Hold BuyDowngradeMar 6, 2024
Daiwa Capital Buy OutperformMaintainFeb 1, 2024
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeJul 11, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 12, 2023
Cowen & Co. Underperform UnderperformMaintainJan 30, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 3, 2022
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 17, 2022
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainMay 10, 2022
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 3, 2021
Gordon Haskett Buy HoldUpgradeMar 25, 2020
Gabelli & Co. Hold BuyDowngradeNov 13, 2019
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 13, 2019
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 26, 2019
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeApr 26, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainApr 26, 2018
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 26, 2018
FBR Capital Perform Market PerformMaintainMay 11, 2016
Ladenburg Thalmann Hold BuyDowngradeApr 28, 2016
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeNov 11, 2015
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 17, 2015
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 5, 2014
BB&T Capital Hold HoldMaintainDec 18, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $441.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$426$432.93 -3.6%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$545$420.63 +23.3%Sep 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$490$434.66 +10.9%Aug 21, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$514$449.53 +16.3%Aug 14, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$485$458.14 +9.8%Aug 5, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$514$445.23 +16.3%Aug 5, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$500$463.57 +13.1%Jun 15, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$501$460.47 +13.4%Jun 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$445$435.93 +0.7%May 6, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$510$435.93 +15.4%May 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$525$435.93 +18.8%May 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$480$435.93 +8.6%May 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$460$415.02 +4.1%Feb 8, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$470$418.1 +6.4%Feb 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$430$418.45 -2.7%Feb 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$400$406.7 -9.5%Feb 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$450$413.36 +1.8%Jan 7, 2026
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$410$413.36 -7.2%Jan 7, 2026
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$448$401.78 +1.4%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$470$400.61 +6.4%Dec 10, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$402$371.26 -9.0%Nov 21, 2025
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$391$366.53 -11.5%Nov 7, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$365$340.46 -17.4%Oct 14, 2025
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$370$349.01 -16.3%Aug 14, 2025
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$345$332.59 -21.9%Aug 8, 2025
KeyBancKen Newman$380$336.49 -14.0%Aug 7, 2025
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$280$269.28 -36.6%Mar 26, 2025
BarclaysJulian Mitchell$285$281.31 -35.5%Jan 8, 2025
KeyBancKen Newman$345$295.42 -21.9%Dec 9, 2024
Morgan StanleyChris Snyder$320$256.92 -27.6%Sep 6, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesAndrew Obin$270$249.16 -38.9%Aug 8, 2024
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$270$249.16 -38.9%Aug 8, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesBrett Linzey$245$249.16 -44.6%Aug 8, 2024
Redburn PartnersRichard Radbourne$256$264.07 -42.1%Jul 8, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsChris Dankert$290$268.92 -34.4%May 14, 2024
JefferiesSaree Boroditsky$280$272.04 -36.6%May 7, 2024
DaiwaJairam Nathan$310$263.01 -29.8%Feb 1, 2024
Wells FargoJoseph O'Dea$357$305.3 -19.2%Dec 19, 2023
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$300$283.41 -32.1%Apr 28, 2023
Morgan StanleyJoshua Pokrzywinski$335$293.65 -24.2%Feb 14, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$284$265.9 -35.7%Jan 6, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$233$259.74 -47.3%Jan 5, 2023
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$238$256.59 -46.1%Dec 15, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$297$259.81 -32.8%Dec 9, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$206$222.51 -53.4%Oct 3, 2022
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$290$254.4 -34.4%Aug 17, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$246$238.55 -44.3%Jul 28, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$213$240.46 -51.8%Jul 28, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$274$240.46 -38.0%Jul 28, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$200$206.35 -54.7%Jul 18, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$212$194.01 -52.0%Jul 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyJoshua Pokrzywinski$260$200.01 -41.2%Jul 6, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$190$197.64 -57.0%Jun 29, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$195.43 -54.7%May 24, 2022
StephensAnalyst unavailable$250$218.21 -43.4%May 4, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$325$217.68 -26.5%May 4, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$256$217.48 -42.1%May 4, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$310$219.78 -29.8%May 4, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$220$213.74 -50.2%May 4, 2022
Robert W. BairdRobert Mason$310$217.17 -29.8%May 4, 2022
Goldman SachsJoe Ritchie$294$284.6 -33.5%Jan 28, 2022
BernsteinBrendan Luecke$378$328.82 -14.5%Jan 10, 2022
Deutsche BankNicole Deblase$340$328.82 -23.1%Jan 10, 2022
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$390$341.24 -11.7%Dec 14, 2021
Berenberg BankPhil Buller$390$343.55 -11.7%Nov 24, 2021
Loop Capital MarketsChris Dankert$315$340.57 -28.7%Nov 17, 2021
UBSMarkus Mittermaier$338$336.49 -23.5%Nov 5, 2021
OppenheimerNoah Kaye$360$336.78 -18.5%Nov 3, 2021
StephensRobert McCarthy$300$295.96 -32.1%Jul 28, 2021
HSBCPuneet Garg$285$290.66 -35.5%Jul 15, 2021
Cowen & Co.Joseph C Giordano$205$257.32 -53.6%May 3, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rockwell Automation, Inc., established in 1903 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a global leader in providing industrial automation and digital transformation solutions. The company's operations are segmented into three key areas: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The Intelligent Devices segment offers various hardware products such as drives, motion control systems, safety and sensing equipment, industrial components, and customized configurations. The Software & Control division provides essential control and visualization software and accompanying hardware, information management platforms, digital twin and simulation tools, and network and cybersecurity infrastructure.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-24T19:23:39.479632+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T19:20:43.204914+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T19:20:43.202135+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.