Roivant Sciences Ltd. · ROIV · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026

Roivant’s pipeline catalysts advance, with launch and trial execution still unproven

Roivant’s investment case in the supplied analysis rests on advancing brepocitinib toward launch and a broad schedule of clinical readouts, supported by a substantial cash position. That opportunity remains contingent on regulatory decisions, trial outcomes and the execution of an initially cautious commercial launch.

Why did ROIV rise 1.5% after missing EPS estimates in FY2026 Q1?

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Reported Before market openNASDAQHealthcare $28.08B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.33 Consensus $-0.30
EPS surprise -10.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.4M Consensus $2.1M
Revenue surprise -29.9% Reported versus consensus
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.0% Up to 20 sessions
ROIVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management said brepocitinib’s dermatomyositis launch remained on track pending FDA approval, reported that enrollment in the Phase III cutaneous sarcoidosis study began ahead of schedule, and described the $950 million upfront Moderna settlement payment as received. The company also expanded its Pfizer/BioNTech litigation to Canada and the UPC. The prior-quarter analysis had described the settlement payment as expected and the dermatomyositis launch as planned.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained; it provides no numeric guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Brepocitinib’s dermatomyositis launch remains pending FDA approval; management emphasized a “slow and steady” commercial approach.
  • Readouts are planned across cutaneous sarcoidosis, LPP, NIU, MOSLI and CLE studies in H2 2026 and into 2027, according to the supplied call analysis.
  • The analysis reports roughly $4 billion in cash, the $950 million upfront Moderna settlement payment, and an ongoing $200 million share repurchase program.
  • Pfizer/BioNTech litigation could result in additional proceeds, but the outcome is uncertain.

Management priorities

  • Prepare for a potential brepocitinib launch in dermatomyositis and build commercial infrastructure across indications.
  • Advance the cutaneous sarcoidosis, LPP, NIU, MOSLI and CLE programs and deliver planned study readouts.
  • Continue share repurchases within authorized limits and pursue ongoing litigation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ROIV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $-0.26 Q4 '24 actual $-0.23, beat Q1 '25 estimate $-0.24 Q1 '25 actual $-0.18, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.25 Q1 '26 actual $-0.25, match Q2 '26 estimate $-0.32 Q2 '26 actual $-0.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-0.30 Q3 '26 actual $-0.24, beat Q4 '26 estimate $-0.29 Q4 '26 actual $-0.28, beat Q1 '27 estimate $-0.30 Q1 '27 actual $-0.33, miss Q2 '27 estimate $-0.37 Q2 '27 actual $-0.27, beat Q3 '27 estimate $-0.31 Q4 '27 estimate $-0.31 Q1 '28 estimate $-0.28 Q2 '28 estimate $-0.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.94Current
$10Low
$32.09Average
$55High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 28, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 16, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 15, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 15, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainApr 3, 2024
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 25, 2024
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2023
SVB Leerink Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 19, 2022
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 26, 2021
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$51$39.57 +21.6%Sep 16, 2026
GuggenheimYastin Suneja$46$41.48 +9.7%Sep 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$55$41.48 +31.1%Sep 9, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$47$42.03 +12.1%Sep 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$52$41.7 +24.0%Sep 8, 2026
H.C. WainwrightDouglas Tsao$41$35.12 -2.2%Aug 7, 2026
GuggenheimYastin Suneja$36$29.96 -14.2%May 26, 2026
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$41$32.18 -2.2%May 21, 2026
Leerink PartnersDavid Risinger$42$32.41 +0.1%May 21, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$40$29.26 -4.6%Apr 16, 2026
H.C. WainwrightDouglas Tsao$34$28.81 -18.9%Mar 4, 2026
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$33$27.67 -21.3%Feb 10, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$30$26.44 -28.5%Feb 9, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$30$25.82 -28.5%Feb 9, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$28$22.3 -33.2%Dec 18, 2025
Leerink PartnersDavid Risinger$32$22.1 -23.7%Dec 15, 2025
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$26$21.46 -38.0%Dec 12, 2025
GuggenheimYastin Suneja$25$20.56 -40.4%Nov 14, 2025
Leerink PartnersDavid Risinger$29$21.17 -30.9%Nov 11, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$20$15.47 -52.3%Sep 18, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$21$15.24 -49.9%Sep 18, 2025
H.C. WainwrightAnalyst unavailable$20$15.24 -52.3%Sep 18, 2025
Leerink PartnersDavid Risinger$17$11.92 -59.5%Oct 21, 2024
Goldman SachsCorinne Jenkins$17$12.06 -59.5%Sep 19, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesChi Fong$12.5$12.46 -70.2%Sep 11, 2024
Piper SandlerAllison Bratzel$20$10.39 -52.3%May 31, 2024
H.C. WainwrightDouglas Tsao$18$10.92 -57.1%Apr 3, 2024
Deutsche BankNeena Bitritto-Garg$15$10.92 -64.2%Apr 3, 2024
Goldman SachsCorinne Jenkins$18$10.92 -57.1%Apr 2, 2024
Goldman SachsCorinne Jenkins$16$10.62 -61.9%Mar 13, 2024
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$14$7.56 -66.6%Jan 5, 2023
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$10$7.32 -76.2%Dec 19, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$10$4.04 -76.2%Aug 18, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$12$3.86 -71.4%May 24, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Roivant Sciences Ltd. is a biopharmaceutical and healthcare technology company dedicated to discovering and advancing innovative therapeutic drugs. The firm's development pipeline targets a broad spectrum of diseases, including various forms of solid tumors and oncologic malignancies, hematological disorders like sickle cell disease and warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia, as well as rare conditions such as hypophosphatasia. Additionally, Roivant is developing treatments for immunological and dermatological ailments, including psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, vitiligo, hyperhidrosis, acne, myasthenia gravis, thyroid eye diseases, and sarcoidosis, alongside tackling infections like staph aureus bacteremia. Founded in 2014, its operations are based in London, United Kingdom.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T21:22:15.535851+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-09T22:40:42.686051+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-09T22:40:42.683238+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.