Rocket Companies, Inc. · RKT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Rocket Companies: Share gains and margin expansion offset housing pressure

The current quarter supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: Rocket Companies is gaining share and expanding margins through AI, servicing and acquisitions, but sustaining those gains depends on housing conditions, integration execution and continued expense discipline.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $36.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.16 Consensus $0.16
EPS surprise -2.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.78B Consensus $2.81B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.8% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +3.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.5% Up to 20 sessions
RKTSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the company emphasized record purchase and refinance share gains, a 28% adjusted EBITDA margin, recurring revenue above 70%, Voice AI deployment and completion of a major servicing migration. The outlook remained maintained, with Q3 revenue guided to $2.5-$2.7 billion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and guided to Q3 revenue of $2.5-$2.7 billion, while expecting continued share gains and expense reductions.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record purchase and refinance market-share gains despite a weak housing environment and higher mortgage rates.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 28%, while recurring revenue exceeded 70% of total revenue.
  • The company highlighted AI-enabled productivity, Redfin and Mr. Cooper integration, and a $11.2 billion liquidity position.

Management priorities

  • Further integrate Redfin and Mr. Cooper to unlock additional synergies.
  • Expand AI capabilities, including broader Voice AI deployment.
  • Scale home-equity lending and Rocket Loans while pursuing additional expense synergies.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RKT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $769M Q4 '23 actual $854M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish1035.7%
Neutral1553.6%
Bearish310.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$12.8Current
$8Low
$17.21Average
$25High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 30, 2026
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$16$11.48 +25.0%Oct 12, 2026
Wells FargoDonald Fandetti$13$11.68 +1.6%Oct 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$16$14.02 +25.0%Aug 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyJeffrey Adelson$19$14.6 +48.4%Jul 16, 2026
StephensKyle Joseph$22.5$15.28 +75.8%Apr 23, 2026
See 21 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Rocket Companies, Inc. is a leading enterprise focused on leveraging technology across the real estate, mortgage, and e-commerce industries, with operations spanning the United States and Canada. The firm organizes its activities into two principal divisions: direct engagement with consumers and a collaborative partner network. Its extensive suite of solutions encompasses: Rocket Mortgage: A primary provider of mortgage lending services. Amrock: Offering vital services such as title insurance, property valuation, and transaction settlement. Rocket Homes: A comprehensive platform for home searching and a referral network connecting clients with real estate agents, employing technology to simplify the home buying and selling journey. Rocket Auto: An online marketplace for automotive retail that facilitates centralized and virtual support for car purchases.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-09T00:16:37.411275+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T02:50:42.065431+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T02:50:42.062556+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.