Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. · RCL · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Royal Caribbean raised guidance as demand and yields stayed strong

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong demand, pricing, onboard revenue, and fleet and destination investments may support growth, while costs, weather, fuel exposure, and capacity remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $74.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.20 Consensus $5.03
EPS surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.89B Consensus $4.89B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.2% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.4% Up to 20 sessions
RCLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis reports Q3 performance above guidance, higher full-year yield and EPS guidance, a fully unsecured capital structure, further private-destination investment, and continued fleet expansion.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year yield guidance to 10.8%-11.3% and EPS guidance to $11.57-$11.62, according to the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis says Q3 results exceeded guidance, with net yields up 7.9% year over year and adjusted EPS of $5.20.
  • Management highlighted demand, pricing, onboard revenue, new ships, and private destinations as growth drivers.
  • The company also strengthened its capital structure and reported $3.9 billion of liquidity, while acknowledging cost and weather risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand the fleet with Utopia, Icon, Star of the Seas, Celebrity Xcel, and a fourth Icon-class ship.
  • Develop private destinations including Perfect Day Mexico and Royal Beach Club locations.
  • Continue AI-enabled yield management, pre-cruise commerce, and balance-sheet strengthening.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RCL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.33 Q1 '24 actual $1.77, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.75 Q2 '24 actual $3.21, beat Q3 '24 estimate $5.03 Q3 '24 actual $5.20, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.09 Q2 '25 actual $4.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5.69 Q3 '25 actual $5.75, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.80 Q4 '25 actual $2.80, match Q1 '26 estimate $3.24 Q1 '26 actual $3.60, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.98 Q2 '26 actual $4.21, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.38 Q4 '26 estimate $3.66 Q1 '27 estimate $3.93 Q2 '27 estimate $4.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish2751.9%
Neutral1936.6%
Bearish611.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$277.68Current
$47Low
$289.42Average
$425High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeOct 8, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeSep 28, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $277.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$358$282.26 +28.9%Oct 12, 2026
JefferiesDavid Katz$330$282.36 +18.8%Oct 8, 2026
BarclaysBrandt Montour$337$288.85 +21.4%Oct 7, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$299$242.7 +7.7%Sep 28, 2026
Truist FinancialPatrick Scholes$298$234.64 +7.3%Sep 24, 2026
See 92 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a prominent global operator within the cruise sector. The company manages several well-known cruise lines, such as Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Azamara, and Silversea Cruises. Through these brands, it offers a wide array of voyages that call upon approximately 1,000 different destinations across the globe. As of February 25, 2022, its expansive fleet comprised 61 vessels. Established in 1968, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in Miami, Florida.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T04:20:41.178408+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T04:20:41.175592+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.