Ryder System, Inc. · R · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Ryder raises guidance as Supply Chain outperforms

Ryder's raised guidance and stronger Supply Chain performance support a constructive near-term earnings view, but the outlook still depends on contractual recovery, rental utilization, used-vehicle pricing, and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $10.39B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.32 Consensus $3.11
EPS surprise +6.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.19B Consensus $3.17B
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.9% Up to 20 sessions
RSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shows higher full-year EPS and free-cash-flow guidance, lower 2025 capital spending, stronger Supply Chain results, and a planned shift toward more retail used-vehicle sales. Compared with the prior analysis, the company further emphasized cash generation and the contribution of asset-light businesses while rental softness remained a constraint.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $12.85-$13.30 and increased its free-cash-flow outlook to $0.9-$1.0 billion; capital expenditures were lowered to about $2.3 billion for 2025.

Key takeaways

  • Supply Chain revenue grew 3% and earnings grew 16%, outperforming other units.
  • Management cited stronger contractual earnings and multiyear strategic initiatives.
  • Used-vehicle wholesale volumes increased; management expects a higher retail mix and better pricing in the back half of the year.
  • Lower capital spending and tax depreciation benefits support the higher free-cash-flow outlook.
  • Weaker rental utilization and used-vehicle wholesale effects remain offsets.

Management priorities

  • Invest in organic growth in asset-light Supply Chain and Dedicated businesses.
  • Continue strategic acquisitions and potential bolt-on targets.
  • Expand Torque mobile maintenance and grow the SelectCare fleet.
  • Use excess cash for dividends and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
R EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.87 Q2 '24 actual $3.00, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.42 Q3 '24 actual $3.44, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.11 Q2 '25 actual $3.32, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.56 Q3 '25 actual $3.57, match Q4 '25 estimate $3.66 Q4 '25 actual $3.59, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.54, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.69 Q2 '26 actual $3.73, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.15 Q3 '26 actual $4.33, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.38 Q1 '27 estimate $3.28 Q2 '27 estimate $4.63 Q3 '27 estimate $5.17
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2369.7%
Neutral1030.3%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$270.9Current
$90Low
$239.75Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 23, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 2, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 6, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 8, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 12, 2024
Vertical Research Buy HoldUpgradeJun 14, 2024
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 27, 2023
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainFeb 14, 2020
Loop Capital Buy HoldUpgradeJan 13, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeOct 31, 2019
KeyBanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 31, 2019
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainDec 3, 2018
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2018
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2018
Mizuho Buy BuyMaintainJun 29, 2018
Seaport Global Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 21, 2017
Aegis Capital Buy BuyMaintainOct 24, 2016
CLSA Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2016
RBC Capital Sector Perform Top PickDowngradeJan 7, 2016
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeAug 28, 2015
BMO Capital Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 4, 2014
Avondale Partners Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 21, 2014
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2013
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2013
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2013
BB&T Capital Hold BuyDowngradeJul 9, 2013
Longbow Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 9, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $270.9. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensBascome Majors$305$265.53 +12.6%Oct 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$260$265.53 -4.0%Oct 23, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$315$265.53 +16.3%Oct 23, 2026
Janney MontgomeryAnalyst unavailable$285$232.32 +5.2%Oct 8, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$280$233.84 +3.4%Oct 2, 2026
Robert W. BairdDan Moore$245$233.93 -9.6%Sep 29, 2026
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$300$260.13 +10.7%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$320$270.56 +18.1%Jul 24, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$310$264.25 +14.4%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$300$267.91 +10.7%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$280$265.39 +3.4%Jul 6, 2026
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$290$261.01 +7.1%Jun 25, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$290$274.66 +7.1%Jun 17, 2026
Wells FargoRobert Salmon$290$264.96 +7.1%Jun 5, 2026
Goldman SachsJordan Alliger$245$242.59 -9.6%Apr 24, 2026
Robert W. BairdDaniel Moore$253$242.59 -6.6%Apr 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$250$242.59 -7.7%Apr 24, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$219$211.97 -19.2%Feb 13, 2026
SusquehannaHarrison Bauer$250$208.01 -7.7%Feb 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$236$217.31 -12.9%Feb 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$250$186.39 -7.7%Dec 8, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$210$180.01 -22.5%Dec 5, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$220$189.95 -18.8%Oct 2, 2025
Robert W. BairdGarrett Holland$155$132 -42.8%Jul 26, 2024
Morgan StanleyChristyne McGarvey$165$121 -39.1%Jun 24, 2024
Vertical ResearchJeffrey Kauffman$145$120.19 -46.5%Jun 14, 2024
Stifel NicolausBert Subin$90$71.55 -66.8%Jun 17, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$68$70.96 -74.9%Apr 28, 2022
Stifel NicolausJoseph DeNardi$93$78.68 -65.7%Feb 18, 2022
Show less

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ryder System, Inc. functions as a worldwide provider of logistics and transportation services, operating through three distinct segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS). The FMS segment offers extensive vehicle services, including full-service leasing and leasing options that feature flexible maintenance. It also supplies maintenance services, necessary equipment, and various provisions for vehicle operation. This segment further provides commercial vehicle rental services, as well as both contractual and transactional maintenance for trucks, tractors, and trailers, supported by comprehensive fleet support. Customers also gain access to diesel fuel, coupled with services for fuel planning, tax reporting, fuel cards, usage monitoring, and consolidated billing. Ryder sells its pre-owned vehicles via 63 retail centers and its dedicated website.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T12:00:43.812389+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T12:00:43.809613+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.