QUALCOMM Incorporated · QCOM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

Qualcomm Beats on Automotive Strength as Handset Headwinds Persist

Qualcomm's Q2 results confirm that diversification beyond handsets is translating into real revenue. Automotive and IoT are now meaningful, scaling growth engines, while memory supply constraints continue to cap the handset recovery. The 15% post-earnings rally and roughly 40% subsequent drift suggest the market is pricing in the automotive, custom silicon, and agentic AI narrative rather than near-term handset weakness. The key question for investors is whether automotive and data-center momentum can sustain double-digit growth once the handset cycle stabilizes.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $179.22B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

QUALCOMM Incorporated is a company dedicated to developing and bringing to market fundamental technologies crucial for the global wireless communication industry. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies (QCT), Qualcomm Technology Licensing (QTL), and Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives (QSI). The QCT division specializes in creating and supplying integrated circuits and system software, leveraging 3G, 4G, 5G, and other advanced wireless technologies. These components are essential for a range of products, including those used for wireless voice and data communication, networking, application processing, multimedia, and global positioning.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.65 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.60B Consensus $10.59B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
QCOM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $10B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $9B Q2 '24 actual $9B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9B Q3 '24 actual $9B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $10B Q4 '24 actual $10B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $10B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $11B Q4 '25 actual $11B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $12B Q1 '26 actual $12B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $11B, match Q3 '26 estimate $10B Q4 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '27 estimate $11B Q2 '27 estimate $11B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold67 ratings
Bullish2943.3%
Neutral3349.2%
Bearish57.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$162.94Current
$120Low
$196.4Average
$300High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 29, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 25, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 25, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 25, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJun 25, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJun 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeJun 25, 2026
Show 60 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $162.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$300$167.95 +84.1%Jul 27, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$200$169.26 +22.7%Jul 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$190$172.6 +16.6%Jul 20, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$210$189.39 +28.9%Jun 29, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$250$203.87 +53.4%Jun 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$235$207.09 +44.2%Jun 25, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$190$197.41 +16.6%Jun 25, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$245$197.41 +50.4%Jun 25, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$220$197.41 +35.0%Jun 25, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$235$197.41 +44.2%Jun 25, 2026
See 106 more

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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +15.1% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +14.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +39.8% Up to 20 sessions
QCOMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q2 revenue of $10.6B edged past the $10.59B consensus, and non-GAAP EPS of $2.65 topped the $2.56 estimate by 3.5%. Automotive revenues exceeded $5B annualized, with management projecting $6B+ by fiscal year-end, driven by the fourth-generation Snapdragon Digital Chassis. IoT continued to grow. Handset revenues remained under pressure from DRAM shortages and Chinese market softness, though management signaled a Q3 bottom. The stock surged 15.1% in the session following the report on 4.4x baseline volume, then drifted approximately 40% higher over subsequent weeks. This marks a notable shift from Q1, when guidance was lowered on the same memory constraints.

Guidance delta

Q3 guidance was maintained at revenue of $9.2 to $10.0B and EPS of $2.10 to $2.30, reflecting continued memory headwinds but confidence in a Chinese handset bottom. This represents an improvement in tone from Q1, when guidance was lowered. Management's bullish score rose from 70 to 78 quarter over quarter, and guidance sentiment shifted from lowered to maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue of $10.6B and EPS of $2.65 beat consensus, driven by record automotive and IoT growth.
  • Automotive revenues exceeded $5B annualized, with management targeting $6B+ by fiscal 2026 year-end.
  • Memory supply constraints continue to pressure handset shipments, especially in China, but management expects a Q3 bottom.
  • Custom silicon engagement with a leading hyperscaler is on track for initial shipments in the December quarter.
  • Agentic AI is positioned as a long-term growth catalyst across smartphones, PCs, automotive, and data-center workloads.
  • A fifth-generation Snapdragon Digital Chassis is launching with 12x NPU and 3x GPU performance.

Management priorities

  • Scale automotive revenue with the fifth-generation Snapdragon Digital Chassis launch by year-end.
  • Begin initial custom silicon shipments for a leading hyperscaler in the December quarter.
  • Host Investor Day on June 24 to detail data-center, physical AI, and robotics roadmaps.
  • Expand agentic AI capabilities across all Snapdragon product families.
  • Advance 6G standards development with prototype demonstrations targeted for 2028.
  • Expand smart-glasses and personal AI devices powered by Snapdragon X2.

Related earnings events

Technology

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T15:26:14.156458+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T15:26:14.153266+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.