PayPal Holdings, Inc. · PYPL · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

PayPal pairs strong Q3 growth with a fading interest-income tailwind

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: PayPal is showing growth, raised guidance, and product-led conversion and ecosystem momentum, but the durability of earnings growth depends on replacing fading interest-income support, managing Braintree mix and volume, and converting Fastlane and other launches into monetization.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $48.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.20 Consensus $1.07
EPS surprise +12.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.85B Consensus $7.89B
Revenue surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.3% Up to 20 sessions
PYPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, PayPal reported another strong quarter and again raised guidance, while Fastlane moved from general availability toward broader processor distribution and PayPal Everywhere added more than 1 million users. The analysis also makes the fading interest-income contribution and lower Braintree volume more central to the forward debate.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year transaction-margin-dollar and non-GAAP EPS guidance, while the analysis flags limited clarity on 2025 guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 results showed revenue growth of 6%, TPV growth of 9%, transaction-margin dollars up 8%, and non-GAAP EPS up 22%.
  • Management emphasized profitable growth in branded checkout, Fastlane, PayPal Everywhere, Venmo, and Braintree.
  • Fastlane was live with more than 1,000 merchants and was being rolled out across multiple processors.
  • The quarter added partnerships with Fiserv, Adyen, Amazon, Global Payments, and Shopify.
  • The main tension is stronger operating execution versus a fading interest-income contribution and lower Braintree volume.

Management priorities

  • Use conversion improvements in branded checkout and mobile experiences to support growth.
  • Scale Fastlane and PayPal Everywhere, including planned European expansion in 2025.
  • Expand PayPal Complete Payments into China, Hong Kong, and additional markets in 2025.
  • Improve Braintree margins while extending merchant partnerships and value-added services.
  • Use holiday-season marketing and a February 25 Investor Day to support adoption and explain long-term targets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PYPL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8B Q4 '23 actual $8B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $8B Q1 '24 actual $8B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $8B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $8B Q3 '24 actual $8B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $8B Q4 '24 actual $8B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $8B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $8B Q3 '25 actual $8B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $9B Q4 '25 actual $9B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '26 actual $8B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $8B Q2 '26 actual $9B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $9B Q4 '26 estimate $9B Q1 '27 estimate $9B Q2 '27 estimate $9B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold68 ratings
Bullish2435.3%
Neutral4160.3%
Bearish34.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$57.02Current
$40Low
$94.27Average
$290High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 23, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 9, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 31, 2026
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainAug 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Show 64 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $57.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$56$55.02 -1.8%Oct 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$55$53.22 -3.5%Sep 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$53.66 +22.8%Aug 31, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$53$53.66 -7.1%Aug 31, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsDominick Gabriele$50$61.47 -12.3%Aug 28, 2026
See 218 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PayPal Holdings, Inc. provides a worldwide technological framework that facilitates digital financial transactions for both businesses and individual users. The company offers a wide array of payment services through well-known brands such as PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Zettle, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy. Through its extensive platform, consumers are able to send and receive funds across roughly 200 global markets and in approximately 100 different currencies. Additionally, users can transfer money to their bank accounts in 56 currencies and maintain account balances in 25 distinct currencies within their PayPal accounts. Founded in 1998, the company's corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T15:10:43.644755+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T15:10:43.642031+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.