Pool Corporation · POOL · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

POOL: Maintenance demand holds up, but earnings miss estimates

The quarter supports a mixed operating picture: resilient maintenance demand, improving gross margin and growing digital adoption provide support, while flat revenue, estimate misses and continued weakness in new-pool construction temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $5.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.84 Consensus $0.99
EPS surprise -15.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $982.2M Consensus $999.3M
Revenue surprise -1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -14.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -14.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.4% Up to 20 sessions
POOLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shows flat revenue with maintenance demand offsetting weaker new-pool builds, while POOL360 digital sales reached a record 13.5% of Q4 revenue. Management maintained 2026 guidance and plans to continue selective expansion and acquisitions.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 low-single-digit revenue growth guidance and EPS guidance of $10.85-$11.15.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue was flat year over year as resilient maintenance spending offset weaker new-pool construction.
  • Gross margin improved year over year and quarter over quarter.
  • POOL360 digital sales reached 13.5% of Q4 revenue, up from 12.5% a year earlier.
  • Management maintained its 2026 outlook and cited disciplined capital allocation.
  • Reported EPS and revenue were below the supplied consensus estimates.

Management priorities

  • Scale POOL360 and the Prozone showroom program
  • Expand private-label and exclusive brands
  • Open 5-8 new sales centers in 2026
  • Pursue $25-$50 million of acquisitions
  • Invest in employee rewards and technology upgrades

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
POOL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $959M Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $999M Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $999M Q4 '25 actual $982M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1155.0%
Neutral840.0%
Bearish15.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$161.87Current
$185Low
$272.67Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 24, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 15 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $161.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoSam Reid$185$175.76 +14.3%Sep 11, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGarik Shmois$210$188.24 +29.7%Aug 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$185$181.14 +14.3%Jul 24, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$227$183.14 +40.2%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$189$183.33 +16.8%Jul 24, 2026
See 33 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Pool Corporation, established in 1993 and based in Covington, Louisiana, serves as a leading wholesale distributor of swimming pool essentials, outdoor living accessories, and related recreational merchandise. Operating extensively across the United States and globally, the company supported its diverse clientele through 410 sales centers spanning North America, Europe, and Australia as of March 2022. Its comprehensive product portfolio encompasses a broad array of upkeep items like chemicals, general provisions, and pool accouterments; components for servicing and replacing critical pool machinery such as purification systems, heating units, circulation pumps, and lighting fixtures; and structural elements including complete fiberglass pools, luxury spas, and comprehensive pre-packaged pool kits designed for both subterranean and elevated installations, encompassing structural walls, liners, support braces, and coping. Furthermore, Pool Corp.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T19:26:06.676906+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T19:26:06.672793+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.