Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish730.4%
Neutral1565.2%
Bearish14.4%
1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation · PNW · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
PNW Holds 2026 Guidance as Arizona Load Growth Drives Investment
Pinnacle West's outlook is supported by Arizona customer growth and committed high-load demand, but delivery depends on regulatory progress, project execution and financing discipline.
Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities
$11.32B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$0.13
Consensus $0.05
EPS surprise
+160.0%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$1.13B
Consensus $1.17B
Revenue surprise
-3.6%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-0.3%
Event window
SPY move
+0.8%
Same window
Abnormal move
-1.1%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.6×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-2.1%
Up to 20 sessions
PNWSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about PNW FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did PNW fall 0.3% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in PNW's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for PNW after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The call highlighted sustained semiconductor and data-center demand, a 15-year IRP planned for mid-year, and continued development of gas, solar and battery projects. Management maintained 2026 financial guidance.
Guidance delta
2026 guidance was maintained at $4.55-$4.75 EPS, with sales growth expected at 4%-6%.
Key takeaways
- 2025 EPS was $5.05, above the upper half of prior guidance despite weather headwinds.
- Management cited 4.5 GW of committed high-load demand, including semiconductor and data-center customers.
- The capital program includes gas, solar, battery-storage and transmission projects through 2030.
- The rate case and formula rate remain central to reducing regulatory lag and improving earnings linearity.
Management priorities
- File a 15-year Integrated Resource Plan covering load forecasts and resource needs.
- Advance gas, solar and battery projects, including Sundance, Ironwood Solar and Agave.
- Pursue the formula rate and continue rate-recovery efforts.
- Explore DOE grants and customer financing alongside existing funding sources.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$93.04Current
$59Low
$92.83Average
$129High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 17, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 1, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 15, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 26, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Downgrade | Dec 12, 2025 | |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Ladenburg Thalmann | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 6, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 18, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Mar 4, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 14, 2023 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 17, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Aug 20, 2021 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 9, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 15, 2019 |
| Williams Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 7, 2017 |
| CRT Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 21, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $93.04. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotiabank | Ian Rapp | $104 | $91.32 | +11.8% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $99.28 | +1.0% | Aug 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $101 | $101.48 | +8.6% | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $97 | $106.12 | +4.3% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $104 | $105.29 | +11.8% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $129 | $108.61 | +38.7% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $108 | $107.01 | +16.1% | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $104.7 | +2.1% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $105 | $100.37 | +12.9% | May 29, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $101.8 | -1.1% | May 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $102 | $101.83 | +9.6% | May 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $98 | $102.26 | +5.3% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $102.95 | +13.9% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $108 | $102.95 | +16.1% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $106 | $102.3 | +13.9% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $107 | $99.7 | +15.0% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $96 | $97.84 | +3.2% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D'Ambrisi | $103 | $91.65 | +10.7% | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $93.71 | -2.2% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $92.3 | -3.3% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $87.82 | +2.1% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $87.74 | -8.6% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $89.44 | -2.2% | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $115 | $89.45 | +23.6% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Shahriar Pourreza | $92 | $91.8 | -1.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D'Ambrisi | $99 | $91.8 | +6.4% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $93 | $92.96 | -0.0% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $99 | $93.15 | +6.4% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $97 | $93.45 | +4.3% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $91.59 | +8.6% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $95 | $90.82 | +2.1% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $87 | $86.21 | -6.5% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $87.38 | -3.3% | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $89 | $91.16 | -4.3% | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $91 | $86 | -2.2% | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Tony Crowdell | $98 | $88.23 | +5.3% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $83 | $89.42 | -10.8% | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Tony Crowdell | $75 | $88.7 | -19.4% | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Sarah Akers | $80 | $78 | -14.0% | Jun 5, 2024 |
| UBS | Daniel Ford | $71 | $72.3 | -23.7% | Mar 11, 2024 |
| Guggenheim | Shahriar Pourreza | $78 | $69.4 | -16.2% | Jan 22, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Tony Crowdell | $85 | $77.68 | -8.6% | Aug 22, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $71.63 | -28.0% | Nov 11, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $76 | $72.7 | -18.3% | Sep 22, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $75.86 | -17.2% | Aug 9, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $71 | $72.19 | -23.7% | Jul 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $69.12 | -24.8% | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $69.84 | -26.9% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $72.3 | -28.0% | Jun 30, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $75.94 | -21.5% | May 23, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $75.41 | -12.9% | Apr 27, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $76.4 | -19.4% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $76.78 | -21.5% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $78.05 | -17.2% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| UBS | Ross Fowler | $72 | $66.99 | -22.6% | Dec 17, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Julien Dumoulin Smith | $59 | $64.74 | -36.6% | Oct 28, 2021 |
| Guggenheim | Shahriar Pourreza | $58 | $66.5 | -37.7% | Oct 7, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Insoo Kim | $73 | $78.1 | -21.5% | Aug 19, 2021 |
Track every rating change on PNW the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationPinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW), primarily operating through its Arizona Public Service Company (APS) subsidiary, delivers retail and wholesale electricity services predominantly within Arizona. The company manages the full scope of electricity provision, encompassing generation, transmission, and distribution, leveraging a diverse energy portfolio that includes coal, nuclear, natural gas, oil, and solar power facilities.…
Historical context
All PNW earningsLatest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T21:16:11.127239+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T21:16:11.124065+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.