The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. · PNC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

PNC Raises Full-Year Outlook as Loan and Fee Growth Accelerate

PNC's Q3 results support a constructive operating picture: expansion markets, the FirstBank acquisition, asset repricing, and capital-markets activity are supporting growth, while management raised its full-year outlook. The counterweight is that deposit costs and a lower-spread loan mix are compressing NIM, so sustained earnings momentum depends on growth translating into revenue without worsening funding and credit pressures.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $86.09B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.91
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.61B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
PNCSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's maintained outlook, management raised full-year guidance and provided a clearer path for fixed-rate asset repricing to support net interest income into 2027. The call also added detail on the AI and agentic technology roadmap and noted completion of the student-loan business exit with de minimis financial impact.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance to approximately 13.5% loan growth, 15.5% net interest income growth, and 13.7% total revenue growth.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 net income was $2.1 billion, adjusted EPS was $5.09, and ROE exceeded 18%.
  • Loan growth was driven by expansion markets and the FirstBank acquisition, which added $15 billion of loans.
  • Deposits increased 1% year over year, while lower-spread loan mix and higher deposit costs compressed NIM.
  • Capital-markets fees were up 40% year to date, with management expecting another 15% increase in Q4.

Management priorities

  • Expand branches and new client relationships in growth markets.
  • Continue the mobile-app and Total Rewards rollout.
  • Use fixed-rate asset repricing to support net interest income through 2027.
  • Advance AI and agentic technology infrastructure while pursuing the $350 million 2026 cost-reduction target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PNC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.99 Q4 '23 actual $3.16, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3.01 Q1 '24 actual $3.36, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.98 Q2 '24 actual $3.30, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.30 Q3 '24 actual $3.75, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.55 Q2 '25 actual $3.85, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.05 Q3 '25 actual $4.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.23 Q4 '25 actual $4.88, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.93 Q1 '26 actual $4.13, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.46 Q2 '26 actual $4.85, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.91 Q4 '26 estimate $5.12 Q1 '27 estimate $5.04 Q2 '27 estimate $5.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2350.0%
Neutral2247.8%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$214.94Current
$162Low
$238.19Average
$305High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 15, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 2, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 1, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $214.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$250$221.03 +16.3%Oct 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$286$221.03 +33.1%Oct 5, 2026
Truist FinancialJohn McDonald$252$216.4 +17.2%Oct 1, 2026
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$265$222.26 +23.3%Oct 1, 2026
HSBCDomenico Santoro$283$224.42 +31.7%Sep 28, 2026
See 82 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. stands as a diversified financial institution operating across the United States. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company maintains an extensive physical footprint, boasting 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. Its Retail Banking division delivers a full spectrum of financial solutions to individual consumers and small businesses. This includes a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. Lending products span residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education financing, and personal and small business loans and credit lines. Additionally, the segment provides brokerage, insurance, investment, and cash management services, all accessible via its branch network, ATMs, call centers, and digital banking channels. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment caters to the needs of mid-sized and large corporations, government entities, and not-for-profit organizations.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-15T18:08:00.211638+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-15T01:23:12.167262+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-15T18:10:44.880988+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-15T18:10:44.878358+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-15. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.