Prologis, Inc. · PLD · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Prologis Posts Record Leasing and Raises Guidance as Data-Center Strategy Accelerates

Prologis delivered a strong Q1 FY2026, beating EPS estimates by 30% on record leasing of 64 million square feet and raising full-year guidance. The quarter marks an inflection point as data-center development shifts from opportunistic to a core growth engine, with $1.3 billion in build-to-suit starts and a 1.3 GW pipeline under LOI representing a potential $15 billion investment. Strategic capital partnerships with GIC ($1.6B) and La Caisse ($1.2B) plus a new Japan acquisition vehicle expand the funding platform. With $5.5B in new financing and $1.2B in asset disposals, the balance sheet supports an increasing capex program. The combination of logistics resilience and data-center optionality positions the platform to compound through the cycle, though execution risk on the data-center build-out and geopolitical headwinds warrant monitoring.

Reported Before market openNYSEReal Estate $137.30B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Prologis, Inc. is the undisputed global leader in logistics real estate, strategically focusing its operations on high-barrier, high-growth markets. As of December 31, 2020, the company's extensive portfolio spanned approximately 984 million square feet (91 million square meters) of both existing properties and planned development projects, located across 19 countries. This significant footprint is managed through a blend of wholly-owned assets and co-investment ventures. Prologis leases its contemporary logistics facilities to a diverse client base of roughly 5,500 customers, primarily serving business-to-business (B2B) and retail/online fulfillment needs.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.05 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +30.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.13B Consensus $2.12B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PLD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.26 Q4 '23 actual $1.26, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.28 Q1 '24 actual $1.28, match Q2 '24 estimate $1.33 Q2 '24 actual $1.34, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.46, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.44 Q3 '25 actual $1.49, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.77 Q4 '25 actual $1.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $1.05, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.75 Q2 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.81 Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '27 estimate $0.91 Q2 '27 estimate $0.96

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2562.5%
Neutral1435.0%
Bearish12.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$135.75Current
$118Low
$151.51Average
$187High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeAug 5, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 1, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 27, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainApr 17, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainApr 17, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Hold BuyDowngradeJan 23, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold BuyDowngradeJan 23, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 22, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeJan 8, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeApr 21, 2025
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 3, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2024
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 21, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainNov 21, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeJul 20, 2023
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJun 30, 2022
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2022
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeNov 23, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainOct 18, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2018
Capital One Financial Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 17, 2016
Capital One Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 17, 2016
BTIG Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2016
BB&T Capital Hold HoldMaintainNov 11, 2015
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainOct 21, 2015
Cowen & Co. Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJul 23, 2015
Credit Suisse Buy BuyMaintainJan 29, 2015
Green Street Advistors Hold BuyDowngradeJan 28, 2015
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 5, 2014
ISI Group Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 23, 2014
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Hold HoldMaintainFeb 3, 2014
Imperial Capital Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 25, 2013
Cantor Fitzgerald Buy BuyMaintainMay 15, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $135.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$166$139.94 +22.3%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$160$139.05 +17.9%Aug 4, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$140$146.19 +3.1%Jul 31, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$150$143.44 +10.5%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$159$149.96 +17.1%Jul 17, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$156$143.42 +14.9%Jul 16, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$170$135.47 +25.2%Jul 1, 2026
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$158$139.97 +16.4%Jun 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$151$147.38 +11.2%May 26, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$148$140.02 +9.0%Apr 28, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$154$141.34 +13.4%Apr 27, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$154$142.43 +13.4%Apr 21, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$157$145.1 +15.7%Apr 17, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$135$144.46 -0.6%Apr 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$161$144.72 +18.6%Apr 17, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$153$135.15 +12.7%Mar 9, 2026
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$135$130.35 -0.6%Feb 2, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$139$127.54 +2.4%Jan 26, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$143$127.15 +5.3%Jan 26, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$123$128.42 -9.4%Jan 22, 2026
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$135$128.5 -0.6%Jan 22, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$121$128.48 -10.9%Jan 22, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$148$130.59 +9.0%Jan 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$135$133.19 -0.6%Jan 16, 2026
UBSNicholas Yulico$146$130.22 +7.6%Jan 14, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$146$130.22 +7.6%Jan 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$139$128.44 +2.4%Jan 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$144$126.9 +6.1%Jan 8, 2026
Robert W. BairdNicholas Thillman$130$126.9 -4.2%Jan 8, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$155$129.01 +14.2%Dec 31, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$138$129.19 +1.7%Dec 4, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$133$124.14 -2.0%Nov 10, 2025
UBSMichael Goldsmith$137$126.38 +0.9%Oct 21, 2025
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$131$124.08 -3.5%Oct 20, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$119$124.08 -12.3%Oct 20, 2025
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$119$125.04 -12.3%Oct 20, 2025
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$114$111.35 -16.0%Aug 27, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$118$105.44 -13.1%Aug 19, 2025
Wells FargoBlaine Heck$137$109.17 +0.9%Jul 13, 2025
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$120$105.41 -11.6%May 2, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$117$106.58 -13.8%Jan 8, 2025
Goldman SachsCaitlin Burrows$132$122.5 -2.8%Oct 21, 2024
Goldman SachsCaitlin Burrows$142$126.24 +4.6%Oct 16, 2024
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$122$127.48 -10.1%Oct 16, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$128$129.07 -5.7%Sep 16, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$122$124.7 -10.1%Aug 20, 2024
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$137$123.98 +0.9%Aug 5, 2024
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$115$119.83 -15.3%Jul 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhotra$120$107.57 -11.6%May 31, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$124$105.89 -8.7%May 6, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$123$106.49 -9.4%Apr 18, 2024
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$142$107.64 +4.6%Apr 17, 2024
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$141$108.35 +3.9%Apr 17, 2024
RBC CapitalMichael Carroll$145$108.35 +6.8%Apr 17, 2024
BTIGThomas Catherwood$154$108.35 +13.4%Apr 17, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$132$126.26 -2.8%Apr 3, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$136$128.14 +0.2%Mar 18, 2024
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$128$108.13 -5.7%Oct 18, 2023
Goldman SachsChandni Luthra$187$121.09 +37.8%Dec 14, 2022
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$116$102.75 -14.5%Oct 17, 2022
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$130$105.99 -4.2%Oct 4, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$163$134.41 +20.1%Aug 11, 2022
BarclaysAnthony Powell$183$132.68 +34.8%Aug 3, 2022
Deutsche BankDerek Johnston$156$130.86 +14.9%Jul 28, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$150$131.1 +10.5%Jul 28, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$160$124.57 +17.9%Jul 21, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$146$118.46 +7.6%Jun 30, 2022
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$162$125.25 +19.3%May 17, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$142.34 +32.6%May 6, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$147.58 +32.6%May 5, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$184$168.48 +35.5%Apr 28, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$190$168.73 +40.0%Apr 25, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$184$170.6 +35.5%Apr 22, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$190$172.67 +40.0%Apr 21, 2022
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$172$152.8 +26.7%Jan 19, 2022
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$166$152.64 +22.3%Jan 18, 2022
Raymond JamesWilliam Crow$180$152.24 +32.6%Jan 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyRonald Kamdem$175$161.73 +28.9%Dec 15, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesJames Feldman$161$142.12 +18.6%Oct 20, 2021
BTIGTom Catherwood$161$137.86 +18.6%Oct 19, 2021
Mizuho SecuritiesVikram Malhorta$131$125.19 -3.5%Jul 15, 2021
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$148$125.19 +9.0%Jul 15, 2021
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.3% Up to 20 sessions
PLDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

EPS of $1.05 beat the $0.806 consensus by 30.3%, while revenue of $2.13B edged past estimates by 0.2%. Full-year guidance was raised on higher occupancy and same-store NOI growth expectations. Development starts accelerated to $2.1B, including $1.3B for data-center build-to-suits. Two new strategic JVs were announced ($1.6B with GIC and $1.2B with La Caisse) alongside a new Japan acquisition vehicle. The company completed $5.5B in new financing and approximately $1.2B in asset disposals, while the energy business reached 1.3 GW of installed solar and storage capacity.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance, citing record leasing activity, higher occupancy, and stronger same-store NOI growth. Development starts are targeted at $4.5-$5.5B with approximately 40% allocated to data-center build-to-suits. Annual acquisitions of $1-$1.5B and total contribution/disposition activity of $3.5-$4.5B are planned. The capex outlook is increasing.

Key takeaways

  • Record leasing of 64M square feet drove a full-year guidance upgrade.
  • Data-center development is becoming a core growth engine, with $1.3B in build-to-suit starts and a 1.3 GW pipeline under LOI representing a potential $15B investment.
  • Strategic capital expanded through new JVs with GIC ($1.6B) and La Caisse ($1.2B), plus a Japan acquisition vehicle.
  • Energy business scaled to 1.3 GW of solar and storage capacity.
  • Demand across logistics, e-commerce, and essential goods remains resilient despite geopolitical uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Scale data-center build-to-suit development and powered-site offerings.
  • Launch and expand strategic capital vehicles, including the Japan acquisition platform.
  • Increase development starts to $4.5-$5.5B with approximately 40% for data centers.
  • Maintain $1-$1.5B annual acquisitions and $3.5-$4.5B total contribution/disposition activity.
  • Expand solar and storage toward 1.3 GW installed capacity.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T21:31:18.260912+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T21:31:18.258233+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.