The Procter & Gamble Company · PG · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

P&G holds share, but FY2027 outlook points to modest growth

The current analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of P&G's operating trajectory: share stabilization, innovation, digital tools, and retailer partnerships provide potential support, but FY2027's modest growth outlook and cost headwinds limit the strength of the near-term growth case.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $352.35B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.43 Consensus $1.41
EPS surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.20B Consensus $21.38B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.8% Up to 20 sessions
PGSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the focus shifted from maintaining FY2026 guidance amid cost pressure to setting a modest FY2027 outlook. Management added more detail on Tide Evo, AI-enabled tools, Supply Chain 3.0, e-commerce, and retailer partnerships, while highlighting mixed U.S. sell-in and sell-out dynamics and higher planned capex.

Guidance delta

FY2027 guidance is 1–3% organic sales growth and 0–3% EPS growth, with about $1 billion of cost headwinds and capex of 4.5–5.5% of sales.

Key takeaways

  • FY2026 performance met guidance, with modest organic growth and a 1% increase in core EPS.
  • Global market share held steady, with notable gains in Greater China and other enterprise markets; U.S. sell-in and sell-out were mixed.
  • Management is emphasizing Tide Evo, AI-enabled tools, Supply Chain 3.0, e-commerce, and deeper retailer partnerships as growth levers.
  • The FY2027 framework pairs limited growth with substantial cost headwinds and elevated investment needs.

Management priorities

  • Scale Tide Evo and the innovation pipeline across fabric care, baby care, oral care, and premium skin care
  • Expand AI-enabled brand building, media activation, molecular discovery, and supply-chain automation
  • Deepen joint business planning with retailers and continue digital commerce expansion

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.70 Q2 '24 actual $1.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.41 Q3 '24 actual $1.52, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.37 Q4 '24 actual $1.40, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.90 Q1 '25 actual $1.93, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.42 Q4 '25 actual $1.48, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.90 Q1 '26 actual $1.99, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.86 Q2 '26 actual $1.88, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.56 Q3 '26 actual $1.59, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.41 Q4 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.88 Q2 '27 estimate $1.88 Q3 '27 estimate $1.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2549.0%
Neutral2549.0%
Bearish12.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$147.39Current
$40Low
$159.98Average
$192High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $147.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinCristian Rios$149$146.25 +1.1%Aug 24, 2026
HSBCDiego Serrano$149$146.15 +1.1%Jul 30, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$142$146.15 -3.7%Jul 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$152$149.14 +3.1%Jul 21, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$156$148.32 +5.8%Jun 11, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Procter & Gamble Company, commonly referred to as P&G, is a global enterprise that supplies a broad spectrum of branded consumer products to markets worldwide. The company's operations are divided into five main business divisions: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers an assortment of hair care products, including conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments, under popular names like Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice. It also features antiperspirants, deodorants, personal cleansing solutions, and skin care items from brands such as Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II. Within the Grooming division, P&G provides a range of shave care products and grooming appliances, prominently featuring brands like Braun, Gillette, and Venus. The Health Care unit encompasses oral hygiene essentials, including toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other dental care products sold under the Crest and Oral-B brand names.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-29T17:08:09.419514+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T20:20:59.405367+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T20:20:59.402967+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.