The Procter & Gamble Company · PG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

P&G Holds FY26 Guidance as Innovation Targets a Second-Half Acceleration

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: P&G's resilient organic growth, maintained FY26 targets and planned innovation provide support, while U.S. demand, investment needs and execution risks leave the second-half acceleration to be demonstrated.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $352.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.88 Consensus $1.86
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $22.21B Consensus $22.30B
Revenue surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.6% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.2% Up to 20 sessions
PGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter emphasizes a softer Q2 followed by an expected second-half acceleration, with greater detail on Pampers Prestige, AI-enabled product development and a petabyte-scale data lake. FY26 guidance remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained: FY26 targets remain organic sales growth of roughly 4%, core EPS of $6.83-$7.09, free-cash-flow productivity of 85%-90%, and about $15 billion in cash returns.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 was described as the softest quarter, though worldwide organic sales still grew about 3%.
  • Management expects new launches, retail execution and productivity gains to support a second-half acceleration.
  • The main debate is whether innovation and productivity can offset U.S. demand, investment and competitive pressures.

Management priorities

  • Launch Pampers Prestige, Tide Evo and expanded Olay offerings in the second half.
  • Integrate the data lake, AI tools and supply-chain automation over the stated 12-18 month timeframe.
  • Add capacity in key categories while continuing productivity initiatives and shareholder cash returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $21B Q2 '24 actual $21B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $20B Q3 '24 actual $20B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $21B Q4 '24 actual $21B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $22B Q1 '25 actual $22B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $21B Q4 '25 actual $21B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $22B Q1 '26 actual $22B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $22B Q2 '26 actual $22B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $21B Q3 '26 actual $21B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $21B Q4 '26 actual $21B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $23B Q2 '27 estimate $23B Q3 '27 estimate $22B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold51 ratings
Bullish2549.0%
Neutral2549.0%
Bearish12.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$146.83Current
$40Low
$159.98Average
$192High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 7, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $146.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinCristian Rios$149$146.25 +1.5%Aug 24, 2026
HSBCDiego Serrano$149$146.15 +1.5%Jul 30, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$142$146.15 -3.3%Jul 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$152$149.14 +3.5%Jul 21, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$156$148.32 +6.2%Jun 11, 2026
See 77 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Procter & Gamble Company, commonly referred to as P&G, is a global enterprise that supplies a broad spectrum of branded consumer products to markets worldwide. The company's operations are divided into five main business divisions: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The Beauty segment offers an assortment of hair care products, including conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments, under popular names like Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice. It also features antiperspirants, deodorants, personal cleansing solutions, and skin care items from brands such as Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, and SK-II. Within the Grooming division, P&G provides a range of shave care products and grooming appliances, prominently featuring brands like Braun, Gillette, and Venus. The Health Care unit encompasses oral hygiene essentials, including toothbrushes, toothpastes, and other dental care products sold under the Crest and Oral-B brand names.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T15:06:15.254253+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T15:06:15.251040+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.