Performance Food Group Co · PFGC · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026

PFGC Reaffirms FY2027 Outlook as Margins Expand

The call supports a measured case that growth and operational execution can sustain earnings momentum: management cited revenue growth, gross-margin expansion, and procurement and technology initiatives. Fuel, consumer traffic, and segment-level margin pressures remain counterweights; this quarter alone does not establish that the trajectory will persist.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $15.16B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.27
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $18.02B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +13.8% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +12.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
PFGCSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about PFGC FY2027 Q1

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described fiscal Q1 revenue growth of 5.5%, gross-profit growth of 8.5%, and adjusted EBITDA at the top of its guidance range. It attributed margin improvement to procurement savings, a richer Performance Brands mix, and technology investments, while reaffirming FY2027 guidance. The supplied analysis does not include actual EPS or revenue values for comparison with consensus.

Guidance delta

Guidance was reaffirmed: FY2027 sales of $72.5–73 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.125–2.225 billion. Management also described procurement savings initiatives targeted through FY2028; the transcript analysis cites up to $125 million in savings.

Key takeaways

  • Fiscal Q1 revenue grew 5.5%; gross profit grew 8.5%, and adjusted EBITDA was at the top of guidance.
  • Management cited procurement savings, Performance Brands mix, and technology investments as margin drivers.
  • AI-enabled routing, inventory drones, and CustomerFirst enhancements are operational initiatives, not yet quantified results in the supplied analysis.
  • FY2027 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance was reaffirmed.

Management priorities

  • Deliver procurement savings through FY2028 and improve vendor negotiations.
  • Continue AI-enabled routing, inventory drone, and CustomerFirst initiatives.
  • Integrate Jersey Mike's locations and pursue branded-program expansion.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PFGC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $14B Q2 '24 actual $14B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $14B Q3 '24 actual $14B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $15B Q4 '24 actual $15B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $15B Q1 '25 actual $15B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $17B Q4 '25 actual $17B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '26 actual $17B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $17B Q2 '26 actual $16B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $16B Q3 '26 actual $16B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $18B Q4 '26 actual $18B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $18B Q2 '27 estimate $17B Q3 '27 estimate $17B Q4 '27 estimate $20B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish2492.3%
Neutral27.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$109.57Current
$62Low
$105.05Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $109.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$95.08 +24.1%Oct 15, 2026
UBSMark Carden$130$105.92 +18.6%Aug 17, 2026
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$133$104.9 +21.4%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$131$112.99 +19.6%Jul 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$130$113.31 +18.6%Jul 14, 2026
See 29 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Performance Food Group Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of food and food-related products in North America. It operates through three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty. The company offers beef, pork, poultry, and seafood; frozen food and refrigerated products; dry groceries comprising cleaning and kitchen supplies and disposables; candy, snacks, and beverages; and fresh products, groceries, dairy, bread, beverages, general merchandise, and health and beauty care products, as well as cigarettes and other nicotine products.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T18:12:21.373037+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-04T01:23:13.345574+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T19:40:44.265743+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T19:40:44.263697+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.