Performance Food Group Co · PFGC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

PFGC Holds Guidance as Market-Share Gains Offset Integration Costs

PFGC's current analysis supports a mixed but constructive operating case: market-share gains, organic case growth, convenience wins, and procurement initiatives support the outlook, while higher Cheney integration costs and an EPS shortfall show that execution and near-term earnings conversion remain important tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $14.43B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.98 Consensus $1.07
EPS surprise -8.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $16.44B Consensus $16.51B
Revenue surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -7.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.2% Up to 20 sessions
PFGCSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from raised to maintained. The current analysis adds higher-than-expected Cheney integration costs, weather-related pressure, cheese and poultry deflation, and continued emphasis on non-combustible nicotine and procurement savings.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained. Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance with modestly adjusted targets and kept its longer-term three-year targets in focus.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 5.2% year over year to more than $67 billion, while net income rose 45.5% to $61.7 million.
  • Organic independent case growth was 5.3% and convenience case growth was 6.3%, supporting the market-share narrative.
  • Cheney integration costs were higher than expected, with synergies expected in years two and three.
  • Non-combustible nicotine mix, private-brand expansion, and procurement savings were highlighted as margin supports.
  • The supplied scorecard indicates adjusted EPS of $0.98 versus a $1.07 estimate.

Management priorities

  • Complete Cheney integration and capture synergies in years two and three.
  • Accelerate procurement cost-saving initiatives validated in the clean-room exercise.
  • Pursue strategic M&A with high due-diligence standards.
  • Invest in new manufacturing facilities and technology to improve efficiency.
  • Expand convenience margin through non-combustible nicotine and private-brand growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PFGC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.84 Q3 '24 actual $0.80, miss Q4 '24 estimate $1.37 Q4 '24 actual $1.45, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.21 Q1 '25 actual $1.16, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.46 Q4 '25 actual $1.55, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.21 Q1 '26 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.07 Q2 '26 actual $0.98, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.78 Q3 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.60 Q4 '26 actual $1.59, match Q1 '27 estimate $1.29 Q2 '27 estimate $1.22 Q3 '27 estimate $1.04 Q4 '27 estimate $2.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish2492.3%
Neutral27.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$93.85Current
$62Low
$104.8Average
$133High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $93.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSMark Carden$130$105.92 +38.5%Aug 17, 2026
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$133$104.9 +41.7%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$131$112.99 +39.6%Jul 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$130$113.31 +38.5%Jul 14, 2026
GuggenheimJohn Heinbockel$125$110.44 +33.2%Jun 29, 2026
See 28 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Performance Food Group Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of food and food-related products in North America. It operates through three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty. The company offers beef, pork, poultry, and seafood; frozen food and refrigerated products; dry groceries comprising cleaning and kitchen supplies and disposables; candy, snacks, and beverages; and fresh products, groceries, dairy, bread, beverages, general merchandise, and health and beauty care products, as well as cigarettes and other nicotine products.…

Historical context

All PFGC earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T19:56:09.670468+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T19:56:09.667622+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.