Performance Food Group Co · PFGC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2025

PFGC: Growth and Integration Progress, With Leverage a Key Watchpoint

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: organic case growth, acquisition integration, and a raised outlook strengthen the growth case, but elevated leverage and cost or demand risks make the durability of that trajectory the key issue.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $14.88B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.04
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $15.46B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -3.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.8% Up to 20 sessions
PFGCSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about PFGC FY2025 Q2

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis highlights faster organic independent case growth, adjusted EBITDA above prior guidance, a raised full-year outlook, and more evidence of acquisition integration. Capital spending is characterized as stable, while debt reduction remains a central priority.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Organic independent restaurant case growth accelerated, while adjusted EBITDA exceeded prior guidance.
  • Recent acquisitions are contributing top- and bottom-line momentum, with further integration work ahead.
  • The main counterweight is elevated leverage alongside inflation, tariff, and weather risks.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Chaney Brothers and Jose Santiago and pursue expected synergies.
  • Maintain disciplined capital spending while funding growth projects.
  • Reduce debt toward the stated leverage target and expand micro-market and convenience foodservice offerings.

Follow PFGC with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PFGC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.84 Q3 '24 actual $0.80, miss Q4 '24 estimate $1.37 Q4 '24 actual $1.45, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.21 Q1 '25 actual $1.16, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.46 Q4 '25 actual $1.55, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.21 Q1 '26 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.07 Q2 '26 actual $0.98, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.78 Q3 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.60 Q4 '26 actual $1.59, match Q1 '27 estimate $1.29 Q2 '27 estimate $1.21 Q3 '27 estimate $1.04 Q4 '27 estimate $2.07
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish2492.3%
Neutral27.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$94.71Current
$62Low
$105.05Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $94.71. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$136$95.08 +43.6%Oct 15, 2026
UBSMark Carden$130$105.92 +37.3%Aug 17, 2026
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$133$104.9 +40.4%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$131$112.99 +38.3%Jul 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$130$113.31 +37.3%Jul 14, 2026
See 29 more

Track every rating change on PFGC the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Performance Food Group Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of food and food-related products in North America. It operates through three segments: Foodservice, Convenience, and Specialty. The company offers beef, pork, poultry, and seafood; frozen food and refrigerated products; dry groceries comprising cleaning and kitchen supplies and disposables; candy, snacks, and beverages; and fresh products, groceries, dairy, bread, beverages, general merchandise, and health and beauty care products, as well as cigarettes and other nicotine products.…

Historical context

All PFGC earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
PG The Procter & Gamble Company FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 +6.4% +5.6% P&G: Volume Growth Supports FY2027 Guidance Despite Cost Headwinds

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the PFGC recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T03:20:43.638484+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T03:20:43.635670+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.