Pfizer Inc. · PFE · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Pfizer maintains guidance while advancing obesity and oncology pipeline

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view of Pfizer's forward trajectory: pipeline progress, non-COVID portfolio resilience, and productivity efforts are positive, while regulatory execution, patent pressure, and competition remain material offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $163.72B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.66 Consensus $0.57
EPS surprise +16.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $17.56B Consensus $16.85B
Revenue surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.3% Event window
SPY move -0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.3% Up to 20 sessions
PFESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes a broader 2026 Phase 3 push, the monthly-dosing 3944 obesity program, expanded AI deployment, and continued oncology progress. Guidance remained maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Maintained: the supplied analysis says 2026 guidance remains $59.5 billion-$62.5 billion of revenue and $2.80-$3.00 of adjusted EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 6% operational revenue growth excluding COVID-19 products for 2025, while overall revenue modestly declined.
  • The 3944 obesity candidate is positioned for potential market entry by 2028, subject to development and regulatory progress.
  • Seagen and Biohaven-related activity, alongside AI and cost-saving initiatives, remain central to the pipeline and productivity narrative.

Management priorities

  • Advance more than 20 Phase 3 trials in 2026, including monthly-dosing studies for 3944.
  • Continue AI deployment across R&D, manufacturing, and commercial functions.
  • Pursue business-development transactions and reinvest cost savings into R&D.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PFE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $14B Q4 '23 actual $14B, match Q1 '24 estimate $14B Q1 '24 actual $15B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $13B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $15B Q3 '24 actual $18B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $14B Q2 '25 actual $15B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $16B Q3 '25 actual $17B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $17B Q4 '25 actual $18B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $14B Q2 '26 actual $15B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $16B Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '27 estimate $14B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1436.9%
Neutral2360.5%
Bearish12.6%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$28.66Current
$20Low
$39.19Average
$70High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 13, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 10, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 8, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $28.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$30$27.78 +4.7%Sep 10, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$31$26.2 +8.1%Aug 7, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$28$24.32 -2.3%Jul 6, 2026
UBSMichael Yee$27$26.34 -5.8%May 27, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAlexandria Hammond$26$25.96 -9.3%May 14, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Pfizer Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical leader engaged in the research, development, production, marketing, and distribution of a wide array of medicinal and vaccine products worldwide. Its comprehensive portfolio addresses diverse therapeutic areas, including cardiovascular health and women's health, featuring key brands such as the Premarin family and Eliquis. The company also offers advanced biologics, small molecule drugs, immunotherapies, and biosimilars for various conditions, exemplified by Ibrance, Xtandi, and Retacrit. Furthermore, Pfizer provides sterile injectables, anti-infective agents, and a significant oral treatment for COVID-19, including Paxlovid.…

Historical context

All PFE earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T11:56:13.950011+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T11:56:13.947067+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.