Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · PEG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

PSEG beats in Q2 while Hope Creek outage and PJM risks remain

The quarter provides evidence for resilient demand and earnings growth at PSEG: results beat expectations, nuclear generation remained a support, and large-load inquiries increased. The evidence is tempered by the pending Hope Creek outage and unresolved PJM and New Jersey resource-adequacy issues.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $35.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.77 Consensus $0.70
EPS surprise +10.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.81B Consensus $2.38B
Revenue surprise +17.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.2% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.7% Up to 20 sessions
PEGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current-quarter analysis shows a Q2 earnings beat, a 47% increase in large-load inquiries, and a more immediate operating risk from the pending Hope Creek outage. Management maintained guidance while continuing to emphasize capital investment, nuclear generation, energy efficiency, and large-load growth.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed full-year earnings guidance; the supplied analysis does not provide the guidance range.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 earnings beat expectations, with more than 20% year-over-year growth in non-GAAP operating earnings.
  • Large-load inquiries rose 47%, primarily on data-center demand, supporting a longer-term growth opportunity but not yet confirming conversion to customers.
  • The Hope Creek outage, PJM capacity-market conditions, and New Jersey resource-adequacy issues remain the main execution and outlook risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $3.8 billion regulated capital investment program
  • Advance the Clean Energy Future–Energy Efficiency II initiative
  • Progress the Salem upgrade and maintain engagement with New Jersey regulators on resource adequacy

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.53 Q4 '23 actual $0.54, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.31 Q1 '24 actual $1.31, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.63, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.87 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.70 Q2 '25 actual $0.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.71 Q4 '25 actual $0.72, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '26 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.79 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.18 Q4 '26 estimate $0.84 Q1 '27 estimate $1.60
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1548.4%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$71.19Current
$70Low
$86.33Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $71.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$86$66.9 +20.8%Sep 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$70.16 +23.6%Sep 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$91$74.19 +27.8%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$84$75.98 +18.0%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$93$78.84 +30.6%Jul 22, 2026
See 35 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE&G and PSEG Power. The PSE&G division is responsible for transmitting electricity and distributing both electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment also commits resources to solar power generation projects and various energy efficiency initiatives, as well as offering appliance service and repair.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T13:00:41.834526+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T13:00:41.831608+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.