Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · PEG · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

PSEG reaffirms 2025 outlook as data-center pipeline expands

PSEG's Q1 update supports a steady, investment-led outlook: management reaffirmed full-year earnings guidance while highlighting strong nuclear performance and a larger large-load pipeline. Regulatory and affordability issues remain the key counterweights.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $34.99B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.43
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.15B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.1% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.5% Up to 20 sessions
PEGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management reaffirmed full-year non-GAAP earnings guidance and said the large-load pipeline exceeded 6,400 MW. The call also highlighted a 99.9% nuclear capacity factor and ongoing New Jersey regulatory discussions.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed full-year non-GAAP earnings guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 non-GAAP operating earnings were $1.43 per share, while full-year guidance was reaffirmed.
  • The large-load pipeline exceeded 6,400 MW, creating potential future cost-recovery opportunities.
  • Nuclear generation reached an 8.4 TWh output and a 99.9% capacity factor, while New Jersey affordability and regulatory issues remained in focus.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $21-$24 billion five-year regulated capital plan through 2029.
  • Roll out Phase 2 of the Clean Energy Future - Energy Efficiency II program.
  • Pursue additional large-load interconnections and potential regulated generation sites.
  • Continue nuclear operations and engage with New Jersey regulators on affordability measures and BGS mitigation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.31 Q1 '24 actual $1.31, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.63, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.87 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.70 Q2 '25 actual $0.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.71 Q4 '25 actual $0.72, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '26 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.79 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.19 Q4 '26 estimate $0.84 Q1 '27 estimate $1.60
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1548.4%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$70.21Previous close
$70Low
$85.79Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $70.21. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$78$70.53 +11.1%Oct 15, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$86$66.9 +22.5%Sep 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$70.16 +25.3%Sep 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$91$74.19 +29.6%Aug 21, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$84$75.98 +19.6%Aug 13, 2026
See 36 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE&G and PSEG Power. The PSE&G division is responsible for transmitting electricity and distributing both electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment also commits resources to solar power generation projects and various energy efficiency initiatives, as well as offering appliance service and repair.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-16T00:02:45.914612+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T07:40:46.986828+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T07:40:46.984121+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.