Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated · PEG · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

PSEG raises 2025 guidance as data-center demand expands

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating outlook for PSEG: raised guidance, regulated investment and growing data-center demand provide growth support, while PJM, FERC, cost and commodity risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $35.90B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.82
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.54B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.2% Up to 20 sessions
PEGSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about PEG FY2024 Q4

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the FY2024 call added a raised 2025 earnings outlook, a $4 billion 2025 capex plan, a $21-$24 billion five-year capital program and a 4,700 MW large-load and data-center pipeline. Management also discussed the Hope Creek refueling and continued nuclear-contract opportunities.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 non-GAAP earnings guidance 9% above 2024, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management said 2024 earnings were at the top of guidance and marked the 20th consecutive year of meeting or exceeding targets.
  • The supplied analysis says 2025 guidance was raised 9%, alongside a $4 billion 2025 capital plan.
  • Large-load and data-center inquiries increased twelvefold to a 4,700 MW pipeline, according to management's discussion.
  • PSEG outlined a $21-$24 billion five-year capital program through 2029 and plans to support dividend growth without new equity issuance.

Management priorities

  • Invest in regulated infrastructure, energy efficiency and electrification.
  • Advance smart-meter deployment and support data-center and large-load growth.
  • Complete the scheduled Hope Creek nuclear refueling and pursue additional nuclear contracts.
  • Execute the five-year capital plan while maintaining financial discipline and dividend growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PEG REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $3B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1548.4%
Neutral1548.4%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$72.02Current
$70Low
$85.25Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 15, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $72.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$85$71.22 +18.0%Oct 21, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$84$70.31 +16.6%Oct 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$78$70.53 +8.3%Oct 15, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$86$66.9 +19.4%Sep 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$70.16 +22.2%Sep 18, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PSEG) is an energy provider primarily operating through its subsidiaries in the Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic United States. The company's business activities are structured into two primary segments: PSE&G and PSEG Power. The PSE&G division is responsible for transmitting electricity and distributing both electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This segment also commits resources to solar power generation projects and various energy efficiency initiatives, as well as offering appliance service and repair.…

Historical context

All PEG earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-11T00:01:39.744939+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T21:20:43.889583+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T21:20:43.886868+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.