PACCAR Inc · PCAR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

PACCAR Q3: Parts Record, Supply Constraints Temper Outlook

PACCAR’s Q3 strength was led by record parts revenue, financial services, and profit growth, while supply constraints and emissions-regulation uncertainty temper the otherwise constructive outlook.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $54.94B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.61
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.50B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
PCARSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied Q3 analysis highlights record PACCAR Parts revenue, the launch of PACCAR Connect, and stronger cash generation. It also identifies supply constraints as a current limit on deliveries and keeps 2027 emissions-penalty uncertainty in focus.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, expects 41–43 thousand trucks in Q4 as suppliers catch up, and kept capital spending at $650–700 million and R&D at $440–460 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue was $7.94 billion and net income was $847.5 million, according to the supplied analysis.
  • PACCAR Parts reached record quarterly revenue of $1.78 billion, with margin improvement despite supply bottlenecks.
  • Supply constraints limited deliveries; management expects improvement and 41–43 thousand trucks in Q4.
  • Management remains bullish on 2027 truck-market volumes, while emissions-penalty levels remain uncertain.

Management priorities

  • Expand PACCAR Connect and use telematics for predictive maintenance and parts sales.
  • Continue investment in clean diesel, hybrid, battery-electric, and autonomous vehicle technologies.
  • Expand the TRP all-makes parts distribution network.
  • Improve supply availability and support truck build rates.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PCAR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.22 Q4 '23 actual $2.70, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.20 Q1 '24 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.14 Q2 '24 actual $2.13, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.82 Q3 '24 actual $1.85, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.29 Q2 '25 actual $1.37, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.15 Q3 '25 actual $1.12, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.06 Q4 '25 actual $1.06, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.15 Q1 '26 actual $1.15, match Q2 '26 estimate $1.36 Q2 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.61 Q4 '26 estimate $1.73 Q1 '27 estimate $1.57 Q2 '27 estimate $1.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1533.3%
Neutral2760.0%
Bearish36.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$103.73Current
$42.22Low
$96.71Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeSep 10, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $103.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoJerry Revich$122$106.86 +17.6%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialJamie Cook$125$108.52 +20.5%Oct 5, 2026
RBC CapitalNick Housden$150$121.88 +44.6%Sep 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$125$124.51 +20.5%Sep 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$119$136.06 +14.7%Jul 29, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PACCAR Inc is a global leader specializing in the design, production, and distribution of commercial trucks, covering light, medium, and heavy-duty classes. Its market reach extends across the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and other international territories. The company's operations are divided into three principal segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck division focuses on engineering, manufacturing, and supplying vehicles tailored for both long-distance highway travel and challenging off-highway applications, primarily for hauling commercial and consumer goods. These vehicles are sold worldwide through an expansive network of independent dealerships, prominently featuring the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment is dedicated to supplying aftermarket components for its trucks and associated commercial vehicles.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T19:04:38.175831+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-27T01:23:15.065758+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T19:20:42.780990+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T19:20:42.778106+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.