PACCAR Inc · PCAR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

PACCAR Q2: Strong Truck and Record Parts Performance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: stronger truck demand, record Parts performance and local-for-local benefits improved Q2, while regulation, tariffs, supply constraints and margin mix remain material checks on durability.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $59.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.43 Consensus $1.36
EPS surprise +5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.00B Consensus $7.05B
Revenue surprise -0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.6% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.5% Up to 20 sessions
PCARSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, PACCAR reported higher Q2 revenue and deliveries, record Parts revenue and a 29.8% Parts gross margin. Management also discussed EPA NOx clarification, tariff benefits and continued investment in clean, electric and autonomous technologies.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management’s supplied analysis points to approximately 42,000 Q3 truck deliveries and 3–5% full-year parts growth.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue was $7.5 billion, with net income up 24% year over year.
  • Truck deliveries rose to 38,700 units, while Q3 deliveries were projected at approximately 42,000.
  • PACCAR Parts posted record revenue of $1.75 billion and a 29.8% gross margin.

Management priorities

  • Increase capital investment to $700–750 million and R&D to $450–480 million.
  • Expand flexible manufacturing and local-for-local production capacity.
  • Advance clean diesel, hybrid, electric and autonomous powertrain initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PCAR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.20 Q1 '24 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.14 Q2 '24 actual $2.13, match Q3 '24 estimate $1.82 Q3 '24 actual $1.85, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.29 Q2 '25 actual $1.37, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.15 Q3 '25 actual $1.12, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.06 Q4 '25 actual $1.06, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.15 Q1 '26 actual $1.15, match Q2 '26 estimate $1.36 Q2 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.61 Q4 '26 estimate $1.73 Q1 '27 estimate $1.61 Q2 '27 estimate $1.69
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1533.3%
Neutral2760.0%
Bearish36.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$112.09Current
$42.22Low
$96.17Average
$150High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeSep 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $112.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalNick Housden$150$121.88 +33.8%Sep 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$125$124.51 +11.5%Sep 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$119$136.06 +6.2%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$148$134.64 +32.0%Jul 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$131$121.24 +16.9%Jul 2, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PACCAR Inc is a global leader specializing in the design, production, and distribution of commercial trucks, covering light, medium, and heavy-duty classes. Its market reach extends across the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and other international territories. The company's operations are divided into three principal segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck division focuses on engineering, manufacturing, and supplying vehicles tailored for both long-distance highway travel and challenging off-highway applications, primarily for hauling commercial and consumer goods. These vehicles are sold worldwide through an expansive network of independent dealerships, prominently featuring the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment is dedicated to supplying aftermarket components for its trucks and associated commercial vehicles.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T17:04:26.714389+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T00:10:56.942753+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T00:10:56.940521+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.