Paycom Software, Inc. · PAYC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Paycom pairs 10% growth with 2026 automation and sales expansion

Paycom’s current evidence supports a constructive but qualified view: double-digit revenue growth, improving retention and expanding automation support the operating story, while slower FY2026 growth guidance, sales-execution questions and adoption risk temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $9.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.45 Consensus $2.44
EPS surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $544.3M Consensus $543.0M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.0% Up to 20 sessions
PAYCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds FY2026 guidance of 6–7% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 44%, reports 91% client retention and approximately 39,200 clients, and places greater emphasis on scaling sales capacity and expanding automation products.

Guidance delta

FY2026 guidance was maintained at 6–7% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 44%; no change from the supplied prior analysis was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 10% year over year to $2.05 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 43%.
  • Client retention improved to 91% and client count reached approximately 39,200.
  • Management is emphasizing IWant, Beti, GONE and additional automated decisioning tools as growth and retention drivers.

Management priorities

  • Release additional automated decisioning and AI tools throughout 2026.
  • Scale the sales force by approximately 100 new representatives and open more offices.
  • Focus on full-solution automation to deepen client ROI and retention.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PAYC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.43 Q1 '24 actual $2.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.58 Q2 '24 actual $1.62, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.61 Q3 '24 actual $1.67, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.78 Q2 '25 actual $2.06, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.95 Q3 '25 actual $1.94, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.44 Q4 '25 actual $2.45, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.99 Q1 '26 actual $3.15, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.38 Q2 '26 actual $2.78, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.82 Q4 '26 estimate $2.91 Q1 '27 estimate $3.89
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1647.1%
Neutral1750.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$218.58Current
$120Low
$262.63Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainAug 6, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 6, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainFeb 12, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 12, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 8, 2025
Needham Hold HoldMaintainMay 8, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 2, 2023
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 1, 2023
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeNov 1, 2023
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeNov 1, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 2, 2023
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 2, 2023
DA Davidson Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 30, 2023
MoffettNathanson Underperform UnderperformMaintainJan 9, 2023
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 2, 2022
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 11, 2021
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 11, 2021
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2019
Citi Buy BuyMaintainOct 25, 2019
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainMay 2, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 26, 2018
Dougherty Buy BuyMaintainOct 31, 2017
Wells Fargo Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 12, 2017
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainFeb 23, 2017
Pacific Crest Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 30, 2017
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainMar 17, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $218.58. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$280$226.28 +28.1%Sep 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$245$216.41 +12.1%Aug 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$200$215.34 -8.5%Aug 6, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$195$214.53 -10.8%Aug 6, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$208$174.8 -4.8%Aug 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$174.8 +23.5%Aug 6, 2026
GuggenheimJason Smith$225$174.8 +2.9%Aug 6, 2026
BTIGAllan Verkhovski$230$174.8 +5.2%Aug 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$210$174.8 -3.9%Aug 6, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$160$174.8 -26.8%Aug 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$154$149.71 -29.5%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$140$132.94 -36.0%May 7, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$160$133.01 -26.8%May 7, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$130$126.32 -40.5%May 7, 2026
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$148$126.32 -32.3%May 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$183$134.94 -16.3%Apr 21, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$115$114.54 -47.4%Feb 12, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$137$118.6 -37.3%Feb 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$120$115.38 -45.1%Feb 12, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$140$115.72 -36.0%Feb 12, 2026
Robert W. BairdMark Marcon$183$115.68 -16.3%Feb 12, 2026
BTIGAllan Verkhovski$140$118.77 -36.0%Feb 12, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$195$118.77 -10.8%Feb 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$120$118.77 -45.1%Feb 12, 2026
GuggenheimJacob Smith$180$118.77 -17.7%Feb 12, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$130$118.77 -40.5%Feb 12, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$210$133.95 -3.9%Jan 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldMatthew VanVliet$135$139.65 -38.2%Jan 29, 2026
UBSKevin McVeigh$210$146.73 -3.9%Jan 26, 2026
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$175$149.49 -19.9%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$185$157.17 -15.4%Jan 12, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$195$162.77 -10.8%Dec 16, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$165$161.91 -24.5%Nov 6, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$225$201.09 +2.9%Oct 21, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$225$199.82 +2.9%Oct 13, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$270$214.85 +23.5%Sep 25, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$285$213.32 +30.4%Sep 16, 2025
KeyBancJason Celino$290$244.82 +32.7%Aug 7, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$245$213.02 +12.1%Mar 10, 2025
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$221$207.57 +1.1%Jan 23, 2025
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$197$209.03 -9.9%Oct 31, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$191$172.25 -12.6%Oct 31, 2024
JefferiesSamad Samana$175$172.25 -19.9%Oct 31, 2024
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$167$166.79 -23.6%Aug 1, 2024
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$184$144.76 -15.8%May 31, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$170$171.29 -22.2%May 6, 2024
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$200$150.69 -8.5%Nov 1, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$336$314.91 +53.7%Feb 8, 2023
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$400$344.52 +83.0%Feb 8, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$417$344.52 +90.8%Feb 8, 2023
MoffettNathansonAnalyst unavailable$310$290.69 +41.8%Jan 9, 2023
CitigroupSteve Enders$400$342.71 +83.0%Nov 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$400$352.33 +83.0%Aug 4, 2022
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$368$353.19 +68.4%Aug 3, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$375$348.16 +71.6%Aug 3, 2022
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$375$337.86 +71.6%Aug 3, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$387$337.86 +77.1%Aug 3, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$308$309.9 +40.9%Jul 18, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$361$301.83 +65.2%Jul 18, 2022
KeyBancJosh Beck$340$280.54 +55.5%Jun 23, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$335$269.82 +53.3%May 23, 2022
NeedhamRyan MacDonald$450$328.2 +105.9%May 4, 2022
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$350$288.46 +60.1%May 4, 2022
Robert W. BairdMark Marcon$440$335.01 +101.3%Feb 8, 2022
Deutsche BankBhavin Shah$450$335.01 +105.9%Feb 8, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$350$335.01 +60.1%Feb 8, 2022
KeyBancJosh Beck$400$304.67 +83.0%Jan 25, 2022
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$380$328.27 +73.8%Jan 20, 2022
Cowen & Co.Bryan Bergin$550$521.17 +151.6%Oct 18, 2021
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$430$341.09 +96.7%May 5, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Paycom Software, Inc., established in 1998 and headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, provides a comprehensive, cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform. This software-as-a-service (SaaS) solution is specifically tailored for small to mid-sized businesses across the United States. It equips organizations with the essential functionality and analytical insights needed to oversee the complete employee journey, from the initial hiring process through to retirement. The robust HCM suite encompasses a wide array of applications across several critical HR domains. For talent acquisition and onboarding, it offers tools such as applicant tracking, candidate management, background checks, seamless onboarding processes, E-Verify compliance, and tax credit services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T20:51:01.324898+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T20:51:01.322179+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.